NFL Week 14 betting guide: Player prop recommendations, parlay picks and more for every game

Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers have only lost to the Chicago Bears once since December 2018. Photo by Paul Sancya/AP.
Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers have only lost to the Chicago Bears once since December 2018. Photo by Paul Sancya/AP.

It's too early for any NFL teams to lock in their playoff spots, but a few divisional hierarchies will become clearer in Week 14.

Week 14 at a glance: The top two teams in the AFC North, AFC South and NFC North will meet this weekend to establish clear leaders in their respective divisions. Meanwhile, the Kansas City Chiefs and Cincinnati Bengals are both playing for their playoff lives (though not against each other).

Check out our NFL Week 14 betting guide for staff picks and predictions on the 14-game slate.

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NFL Week 14 betting guide: predictions

ATS picks: Get ATS predictions from our five staff writers on every game of the week.

Prop bets: D'Andre Swift ran wild vs. the Eagles last week, and now he'll face another familiar foe in the Packers. Look for Swift to keep churning, while Jonathan Taylor and Kirk Cousins are fade candidates.

Best bets: Joe Burrow is so back, and the scoring potential for Bengals vs. Bills is sky-high. Our Avery Perri is taking the over as one of four NFL best bets for the slate (ft. a Travis Etienne prop bet).

TD picks: Pop quiz ... who leads the NFL in receptions? That would be Arizona Cardinals tight end Trey McBride, who is one of three anytime TD scorer picks for the week.

Upset picks: The Miami Dolphins have been dreadful in cold weather, which is part of why our Jordan Horrobin is riding with the New York Jets at home in Sunday's AFC East clash.

Bengals vs. Bills SGP: Burrow vs. Josh Allen with playoff implications on the line? Sign us up. This +320 SGP features props on Buffalo's QB and stud WR Ja'Marr Chase.

Texans vs. Chiefs best bets: It'll be cold. The stakes are high. And two talented defences will be on the field. Horrobin thinks that's the recipe for an under.

Eagles vs. Chargers best bets: Philadelphia is in good shape to rebound after its disastrous Black Friday showing. On the prop market, Ladd McConkey should make noise.

Monday Night Football SGP: This +310 ticket is built around A.J. Brown. The wideout has been targeted 10+ times in three straight games.

NFL injury report: Who's in? Who's out? Our NFL injury report, powered by RotoWire, provides the latest status updates for players around the league.

NFL Week 14 betting notes

  • Aside from a meaningless Week 18 game last year, when the Green Bay Packers rested their starters at halftime, the Chicago Bears haven't beaten in seven years. Chicago rookie head coach Ben Johnson said in his introductory press conference that he "enjoyed beating (Packers coach) Matt LaFleur twice a year" while working with the Lions, so we'll see if he can back that up.

    To Johnson's credit, Year 1 in the Windy City has looked like a breeze. His Bears are 9-3 SU (8-4 ATS), which includes a 5-2 record as underdogs. They're 6.5-point 'dogs at Lambeau Field on a day where the high is projected to be -8 C.
  • The Indianapolis Colts and Jacksonville Jaguars share identical records (8-4 SU, 7-4-1 ATS) ahead of their divisional clash on Sunday. Jacksonville has won each of the past five meetings in Duval County, holding Jonathan Taylor to 43.0 rushing yards per game when he plays there.
  • The Miami Dolphins have been accused of being sunshine merchants in the past, and the rumours might be true. In outdoor road games, Miami is 0-3 SU with a -38 point differential. And yet the Dolphins are favoured in East Rutherford, New Jersey this weekend against the Jets.

-> Don't miss out — bet on NFL Week 14 here!

-> Don't miss out — bet on NFL Week 14 here!

  • Someone has to win the AFC North, and the winner of this week's Steelers/Ravens matchup will be in the driver's seat. Both teams sit at 6-6 with sub-.500 ATS records. Baltimore, which has a three-day rest advantage, is 5-1 SU in its past six and will be at home for a third straight game.
  • For the second consecutive week, the Los Angeles Rams are on the road as one of the biggest favourites in the NFL. Last Sunday in Carolina, L.A. lost outright while laying 10.5 points. Up next are the Arizona Cardinals, who've lost nine of 10 straight up.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs are still hanging around in the Super Bowl conversation at +1,600 odds, but they really need to win at home on Sunday Night Football. According to NFL.com, the Chiefs' playoff probability would be 48% with a win over the Texans ... and just 12% with a loss.

Biggest spreads: Saints vs. Buccaneers (-8.5); Rams (-8.5) vs. Cardinals; Broncos (-7.5) vs. Raiders

Highest totals: Bengals vs. Bills (53.5); Rams vs. Cardinals (48); Colts vs. Jaguars (46.5)

NFL Week 14 matchups

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-> Bet on Williams and Love at NorthStar Bets!

Thursday Night Football (Dec. 4)

  • Cowboys vs. Lions (8:15 p.m. ET)

Sunday, Dec. 7: 1 p.m. ET slate

  • Titans vs. Browns
  • Seahawks vs. Falcons
  • Colts vs. Jaguars
  • Commanders vs. Vikings
  • Bengals vs. Bills
  • Saints vs. Buccaneers
  • Steelers vs. Ravens
  • Dolphins vs. Jets

Sunday, Dec. 7: 4 p.m. ET slate

  • Broncos vs. Raiders
  • Rams vs. Cardinals
  • Bears vs. Packers

Sunday Night Football

  • Texans vs. Chiefs (8:20 p.m. ET)

Monday Night Football (Dec. 8)

  • Eagles vs. Chargers (8:15 p.m. ET)

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