Even with a handful of byes this week — for the final time this season — there are tons of meaningful matchups around the NFL.
The Week 14 narrative: Three division leads are up for grabs this weekend, including the NFC North, as the Green Bay Packers host the surging Chicago Bears. On Sunday night, the Kansas City Chiefs' playoff chances will take a big swing one way or another in their matchup vs. the Houston Texans.
Check out our staff's NFL Week 14 ATS picks for predictions on every game.
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NFL Week 14 ATS picks
NorthStar Bets' Avery Perri, Jordan Horrobin, Spencer Closs, Chris Toman and Steven Psihogios offer up their NFL Week 14 ATS picks for all 14 games.
NFL odds as of 10 a.m. ET on Thursday, Dec. 4, 2025.
Thursday Night Football pick
Cowboys vs. Lions (Thursday, Dec. 4: 8:15 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Detroit -3
Horrobin says: Dallas is surging, riding a three-game win streak that includes underdog victories over both of last season’s Super Bowl participants. The defence looks more stout with trade acquisition Quinnen Williams clogging up the middle, too. Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its past five, with two outright losses as a home favourite in that span. It’s getting late early for the boys in Honolulu Blue.
Staff picks: Perri (DAL) | Horrobin (DAL) | Closs (DAL) | Toman (DAL) | Psihogios (DAL)
-> Place your bets on the Week 14 slate
NFL ATS picks: The early Sunday slate
Bengals vs. Bills (Sunday, Dec. 7: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Buffalo -5.5
Perri says: Joe Burrow back, and I expect the Bengals to put up points, but the Bills are a different beast at home. Buffalo is 5-1 while averaging 32.5 PPG in Orchard Park. That unit should tear up a Cincinnati defence that ranks last in yards per game, points per game and EPA per play.
Staff picks: Perri (BUF) | Horrobin (CIN) | Closs (BUF) | Toman (CIN) | Psihogios (BUF)
Colts vs. Jaguars (Sunday, Dec. 7: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Indianapolis -2
Horrobin says: Jacksonville is 4-1 in its past five games, averaging 29.2 PPG in that span — and four of those games were on the road. Now the Jags have a chance to take the lead in the AFC South against a slumping Colts squad. Indy has scored 20 or fewer points in three of its past four. Jacksonville has won at home against Indianapolis in each of the previous five seasons.
Staff picks: Perri (IND) | Horrobin (JAX) | Closs (JAX) | Toman (JAX) | Psihogios (JAX)
Dolphins vs. Jets (Sunday, Dec. 7: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Miami -2.5
Horrobin says: I'm not ecstatic about backing the Jets, but I am thrilled to fade the Dolphins. Miami has been atrocious on the road, going 1-4 SU (2-3 ATS) with a -39 point differential. Playing outdoors on the road has been particularly rough for the Dolphins, who are 0-3 SU with a -38 differential. As for the Jets, there's finally a sign of life. Since Week 8, they are 5-0 ATS with three upset wins.
Staff picks: Perri (MIA) | Horrobin (NYJ) | Closs (NYJ) | Toman (NYJ) | Psihogios (NYJ)
Saints vs. Buccaneers (Sunday, Dec. 7: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Tampa Bay -8.5
Closs says: This line is too big for me to back the Bucs right now. They are averaging 19.0 points since Week 7. That's more four points fewer than their season-long average (23.3). The offence is banged up, and it's hard to trust it, even at home. Tyler Shough has led the Saints to 17 points in back-to-back away games and should be able to do enough not to get blown out.
Staff picks: Perri (TB) | Horrobin (TB) | Closs (NO) | Toman (TB) | Psihogios (TB)
Steelers vs. Ravens (Sunday, Dec. 7: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bet line: Baltimore -6
Toman says: This huge AFC North showdown will go a long way in determining the division winner. And it’s the Ravens who I want a piece of. After losing their first game since Lamar Jackson’s Week 9 return, Baltimore is at home with a rest advantage facing a Steelers team with a banged-up 42-year-old QB who’s coming off a terrible showing in a 19-point loss to the Bills.
Staff picks: Perri (PIT) | Horrobin (PIT) | Closs (BAL) | Toman (BAL) | Psihogios (PIT)
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Seahawks vs. Falcons (Sunday, Dec. 7: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Seattle -7
Perri says: The only thing standing between the Seahawks and a seven-game winning streak is a two-point loss to the Rams when they had a -3 turnover differential. Seattle's defence just shut out the Vikings and should wreak more havoc on Minnesota's former signal-caller, Kirk Cousins. I'll back the league-best ATS team to cover a touchdown spread on the road.
Staff picks: Perri (SEA) | Horrobin (SEA) | Closs (ATL) | Toman (SEA) | Psihogios (ATL)
Titans vs. Browns (Sunday, Dec. 7: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Cleveland -4
Perri says: Cam Ward is the most sacked quarterback in the NFL, and now he has to deal with Myles Garrett. Good luck. Cleveland's defence allows the second-fewest yards per game (271.3), and should absolutely dominate the league's worst scoring offence (14.2 PPG). All Shedeur Sanders has to do is take care of the football, and the Browns should cruise.
Staff picks: Perri (CLE) | Horrobin (CLE) | Closs (CLE) | Toman (TEN) | Psihogios (TEN)
Commanders vs. Vikings (Sunday, Dec. 7: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Minnesota -1.5
Closs says: There is no way I can back the Vikings as the favourite right now. They have lost four straight games, while averaging just 10.5 points. J.J. McCarthy could make his return, but the young QB has played well below expectations, throwing six touchdowns and 10 interceptions this season. Marcus Mariota looks like a more competent QB than any option Minny has, which gives me confidence in the Commanders as underdogs.
Staff picks: Perri (WSH) | Horrobin (MIN) | Closs (WSH) | Toman (MIN) | Psihogios (WSH)
NFL 4 p.m. slate
Broncos vs. Raiders (Sunday, Dec. 7: 4:05 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Denver -7.5
Toman says: Denver has only covered this number twice during its nine-game winning streak. The Broncos simply don’t win big, and I’m willing to buy into that trend — even against a miserable Raiders team that’s been blown out repeatedly. When these teams met in Week 10, Las Vegas covered in a 10-7 loss.
Staff picks: Perri (DEN) | Horrobin (DEN) | Closs (LV) | Toman (LV) | Psihogios (LV)
Bears vs. Packers (Sunday, Dec. 7: 4:25 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Green Bay -6.5
Horrobin says: I expect Green Bay to win, but I have to put some respect on Ben Johnson’s name. Chicago’s rookie head coach has his team sitting at 9-3 (8-4 ATS), covering this number in 10 of 12. The Bears just embarrassed the Eagles on the road to move to 5-2 SU as underdogs this season. Green Bay is 3-7 ATS in its past 10 and could struggle to stop a Bears rushing attack that had 281 yards last week.
Staff picks: Perri (CHI) | Horrobin (CHI) | Closs (GB) | Toman (CHI) | Psihogios (GB)
Rams vs. Cardinals (Sunday, Dec. 7: 4:25 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Los Angeles -8.5
Toman says: Since a Week 9 win, the Cardinals have lost two games by an average of 20-plus points and the other two by three points apiece. I’m willing to bet this one lands somewhere around the middle. Fighting for the top spot in the NFC West, I expect the Rams to handle business and be out for blood after a shocking Week 13 loss to the Panthers as 10.5-point favourites.
Staff picks: Perri (LAR) | Horrobin (LAR) | Closs (LAR) | Toman (LAR) | Psihogios (ARI)
Sunday and Monday Night NFL Week 14 ATS picks
Texans vs. Chiefs (Sunday, Dec. 7: 8:20 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Kansas City -3
Closs says: The Chiefs are 6-6 and need this win to stay in the playoff hunt. The good news is this game will be played in Kansas City, where the squad is 5-1 this season. Houston is so-so on the road (3-3) and has scored 23 or fewer points three times during its active four-game win streak. Houston's defence is great, but that won't be enough against the defending AFC champs at Arrowhead Stadium.
Staff picks: Perri (KC) | Horrobin (KC) | Closs (KC) | Toman (KC) | Psihogios (HOU)
Eagles vs. Chargers (Monday, Dec. 8: 8:15 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Philadelphia -3
Perri says: Justin Herbert has a broken left wrist but is expected to play. That tells me L.A. will either be running the ball a lot or getting the ball out quickly. With Joe Alt sidelined, I can't see that being successful against Philly's defence. The Birds did get embarrassed on Black Friday, but have more quality wins under their belt than L.A. The Chargers haven't beaten a playoff team since Week 3.
Staff picks: Perri (PHI) | Horrobin (LAC) | Closs (LAC) | Toman (LAC) | Psihogios (PHI)
NFL ATS picks: Week 13 + season records
- Closs: 9-6-1 (94-94-6)
- Psihogios: 7-8-1 (94-94-6)
- Toman: 9-6-1 (92-96-6)
- Perri: 6-9-1 (90-98-6)
- Horrobin: 3-12-1 (86-102-6)
