Two running backs and an under-the-radar receiver are my anytime touchdown scorer picks for NFL wild-card weekend.
The pregame narrative: With six playoff games on tap from Saturday through Monday, there are plenty of NFL TD picks available to bettors. Saquon Barkley is my top choice thanks to a late-season resurgence, and I think D'Andre Swift can take advantage of a plus matchup at home.
Check out my top NFL wild-card TD picks, featuring Jacksonville Jaguars wideout Parker Washington.
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NFL wild-card TD picks
Best bet: Barkley to score (-152)
It's practically a disgrace that I'm going with an odds-on prediction for my top TD pick after my colleague Steven Psihogios cashed a +900 play (Connor Heyward) last week.
Alas, some of us just aren't built like that.
Barkley is a practical play, though, with far less juice on his TD market than he had entering last postseason. Of course, that has a lot to do with his regression this year.
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Following his Offensive Player of the Year-calibre output a season ago, Barkley had six fewer TDs and 870 fewer scrimmage yards in 2025 (in the same number of games).
But he finished strong and is still being used heavily around the goal line. That's what I care about.
- Barkley had at least one carry inside the five-yard line in each of his final four games. Somehow, only one of those seven carries resulted in a touchdown, but the volume is still commendable.
- In those final four games, Barkley went 3-1 vs. his TD prop while logging 100.0 rush yards per game and 17 total touches in the red zone.
If Barkley continues to see a high volume of quality opportunities, this wild-card matchup vs. the San Francisco 49ers is one he can cash in on.
The Niners' run defence allowed the second-highest success rate this season (46.4%), per RBSDM.com.
Key stat: Barkley's seven carries inside the five-yard line from Weeks 14-17 were tied for the most in the NFL, per Fantasy Pros.
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NFL touchdown scorer bets
Washington to score (+190): Trevor Lawrence has been on a tear for weeks, which has me interested in backing one of his top targets on Sunday against the Buffalo Bills.
In his past seven games, Lawrence has an 18:4 TD-to-INT ratio, along with a 108.6 passer rating. That would put him on a 43-TD pace over a full season.
Washington played in six games during that stretch and went 3-3 on his TD prop. But I'm particularly encouraged by his overall usage in the final three weeks:
- at Broncos: 6 catches, 145 yards, 1 TD
- at Colts: 8 catches, 115 yards
- vs. Titans: 5 catches, 87 yards, 1 TD
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Washington was a big-play machine in those games, totalling 10 receptions of 20+ yards.
He had four red zone targets as well, but it's nice to know he doesn't need to rely on those looks to have a chance to score.
NFL anytime TD prediction
Swift to score (+105): I expect the Bears to put up some points on the Packers, given how depleted Green Bay's defensive front is. Devonte Wyatt and Micah Parsons suffered season-ending injuries in Weeks 13 and 15, respectively.
Since Week 13, Green Bay's defence has ranked 29th in success rate and 28th in EPA per play.
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Swift failed to score in either regular-season matchup vs. Green Bay, but he did post 70+ scrimmage yards in both games.
Though he's in a timeshare with Kyle Monangai, Swift sees more work than his rookie teammate as both a runner and a receiver.
Also, Swift has at least one carry inside the 10-yard line in 11 straight games. I'll gladly buy that opportunity at this price.
NFL wild-card TD picks made at 1:41 p.m. ET on Jan. 7, 2026.
