Patriots vs. Seahawks Super Bowl 60 betting preview: Player prop insights and the game's biggest storylines

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has the shortest Super Bowl MVP odds among non-quarterbacks. Photos by AP.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has the shortest Super Bowl MVP odds among non-quarterbacks. Photos by AP.

For two weeks between the end of the conference championship round and the Super Bowl kick-off, there's tons of time for information overload.

Super Bowl 60, featuring the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks, is sure to be exciting. So it makes sense for some fans and bettors to want every morsel of data they can find.

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Consider this Super Bowl 60 preview a one-stop shop for the most important betting trends, player prop insights and more ahead of the biggest Sunday on the NFL calendar.

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Super Bowl 60 preview

After four-win seasons in back-to-back years, the Patriots are rather surprising participants in the Super Bowl.

Some level of improvement was expected, with Drake Maye ascending in Year 2 and the easiest schedule in the NFL (as measured by Pro Football Reference, Warren Sharp and ESPN's Football Power Index).

But winning the AFC? That seemed awfully far-fetched in a conference with Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson.

Credit the Patriots for steamrolling the competition. They had the AFC's best regular-season point differential (+170) and allowed only 26 points in three playoff games,

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Not to be outdone, the NFC's top-seeded Seattle Seahawks posted a +191 point differential in the regular season. And their offence exploded for 72 points in just two postseason matchups.

New England has an MVP-calibre quarterback, while Seattle has better offensive weapons. On defence, the Seahawks have more high-end talent, but both sides rank in the top 10 in points and yards.

As the odds indicate, Seattle has the edge. But there's a lot to like on both sides.

Patriots vs. Seahawks ATS and O/U betting notes

SEAHAWKS
ATS: 14-5-0
O/U: 11-8-0

  • Their 73.7% ATS success rate ranks No. 1 in the NFL.
  • Overs are 10-6 when the Seahawks are favoured.
  • Sam Darnold is 15-1 SU (11-5 ATS) in his career when favoured by 4+ points, according to Action Network.
  • Seattle is on a nine-game winning streak — and a four-game ATS winning streak — entering the Super Bowl.
  • In two seasons under head coach Mike McDonald, the Seahawks have played 10 games against under-25 quarterbacks. Those QBs are 1-9 SU with a 7:12 TD-to-INT ratio.

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PATRIOTS
ATS: 14-6-0
O/U: 12-8-0

  • Their 70.0% ATS success rate ranks No. 2 in the NFL.
  • Overs are 4-2 when the Patriots are underdogs.
  • New England is 6-2 SU (4-4 ATS) this season when trailing by at least seven points at some moment in the game. Over the three previous seasons, the team had been an NFL-worst 3-29 SU (5-26-1 ATS) in that spot.
  • The Patriots are 6-0 SU (5-1 ATS) in their past six games.
  • New England hasn't trailed at halftime since Week 3 vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Super Bowl 60 preview: Is Drake Maye OK?

Maye put together an MVP-calibre season, leading the NFL in passer rating (113.5), yards per attempt (8.9) and completion rate (72.0%). New England couldn't have asked for more out of its second-year QB.

Things have been different — and by that I mean uglier — in the playoffs, though:

  • 84.0 passer rating
  • 6.9 yards/pass attempt
  • 55.8% completion rate

Pressure and inexperience are factors here, but let's be fair to 2024's third-overall pick. He just faced three top-five total defences and lived to tell the tale.

No quarterback had ever previously won three games vs. top-five total defences in the same postseason.

And though Maye's air attack has been largely grounded, he's finding other ways to shine. He has 24 carries for 141 yards and a touchdown with his legs, surpassing the 60-yard mark twice.

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Seahawks Super Bowl storyline: Kenneth Walker is on the rise

Walker has done some of his very best work at the most critical juncture of the season, and he'll be an X-factor for the Seahawks' offence in the Super Bowl.

Walker was dancing all over the field in the NFC title game, turning 23 touches into 111 yards and a touchdown. On one jump cut, he put a Rams linebacker on skates.

If a non-quarterback is going to win Super Bowl MVP for the Seahawks, it'll likely be Jaxon Smith-Njigba (who had an epic NFC title showing, with 10 catches for 153 yards and a TD). But you can't sleep on Walker.

With Zach Charbonnet out, Walker largely has the Seattle backfield to himself. He's averaging 6.4 yards per touch in his past five games and deserves a bell cow's workload.

Player (Team)Super Bowl 60 MVP odds
Sam Darnold (Seahawks)+125
Drake Maye (Patriots)+215
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seahawks)+500
Kenneth Walker (Seahawks)+650
Rashid Shaheed (Seahawks)+2,500
Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)+2,800
Stefon Diggs (Patriots)+5,000
TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)+7,500

Super Bowl MVP odds as of Jan. 28, 2026 at 1:30 p.m. ET.

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Super Bowl 60 preview: Player prop trends

  • Smith-Njigba has 90+ receiving yards in 14 of 19 games this season.
  • Walker has five TDs over his past five games and is averaging 122.0 scrimmage yards per game in that span.
  • Cooper Kupp only had 4+ catches once in his final 11 regular-season games. But he has 4+ catches in both playoff games for Seattle.
  • Kayshon Boutte is the only New England wide receiver with 60+ receiving yards in a game this postseason. He had 66 yards in the wild-card round and 75 yards in the divisional round.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson failed to catch either of his targets in the AFC championship. But in seven games before that, he averaged 3.4 targets, 3.1 receptions and 36.7 yards.
  • Stevenson is averaging 64.7 rush yards/game in the postseason. TreVeyon Henderson, meanwhile, only has 57 total rush yards in three games.
  • Henderson's three rush attempts in the AFC championship marked his fewest since Week 7.

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