A trio of under-24 hoopers have my attention for Wednesday's NBA prop picks, headlined by Kon Knueppel.
Tonight's NBA props narrative: Though his scoring volume is down a bit lately, Knueppel is adding value as a rebounder. I'm backing him on the glass at plus-money odds tonight and looking for Golden State's Moses Moody to stay blazing hot from 3-point range.
BET FINDER: Search & Bet!
Check out these NBA prop picks for Jan. 28, featuring a pick on Orlando Magic point guard Anthony Black.
-> Join NorthStar Bets & start betting on the NBA!
NBA prop picks Jan. 28
Best bet: Knueppel over 5.5 rebounds (+114)
Knueppel is my favourite rookie in the 2025-26 class, and I've backed him several times this season on scoring props.
I'm going in a different direction tonight, though, for the sake of some plus-money odds.
The small forward is averaging exactly 5.5 rebounds this year. But that number has been trending way up in recent weeks.
In January, Knueppel is averaging 6.4 RPG. And he has 10+ rebounds in three of his past six games — something he'd done just twice all season previously.
-> Bet on tonight's NBA slate now!
Neither of Charlotte's centres averages north of 25 minutes, which means other players have opportunities to chip in on the glass.
Knueppel, listed at 6-foot-6 and 215 pounds, is one of the guys stepping up.
NBA.com's tracking data backs up that claim, as evidenced by the rebound chances stat. That tracks how many times someone is the closest player to the ball between "when the ball has crossed below the rim to when it is fully rebounded."
This month, Knueppel has averaged 12.1 rebound chances. Among 47 players averaging at least 10.0 rebound chances this month, 38 are averaging at least 6.0 rebounds.
As the cherry on top, Kneuppel's opponents tonight — the Memphis Grizzlies — are allowing the second-most rebounds to small forwards, per Fantasy Pros.
Key stat: Knueppel is 5-2 vs. this prop in his past seven games, averaging 7.9 RPG in that span.
Best NBA picks
Black over 1.5 threes (-124): I can't figure out why this line is priced so reasonably, but I'd rather bet it than question it.
- Since Dec. 22, Black is 13-4 vs. this prop, averaging 2.5 makes on 6.3 attempts (40.2%).
- He's 6-1 vs. this prop in his past seven games.
- The 3-point shot volume has been healthy, with Black firing 5+ attempted 3s in nine of 11 games this month.
-> At NorthStar Bets: Wager on NBA props, futures & more
Black will face the Miami Heat, who allow the fourth-most 3-point attempts in the NBA.
The point guard is hot on the perimeter, so I'm feeling good about this milestone as long as the shot volume remains steady (and it should).
NBA player prop predictions
Moody over 2.5 threes (-124): The Golden State Warriors are 9.5-point road favourites tonight in a dream matchup. They're facing a Utah Jazz team that just lost by a dozen last night.
Utah is allowing the most 3s, 3-point attempts and total points per game this season. Golden State should dominate, allowing vets like Steph Curry and Draymond Green — both of whom are "probable" on the injury report — to play reduced roles.
-> See tonight's NBA moneyline odds, spreads & game totals
That's where the 23-year-old Moody comes in. He's been on fire from deep, and I expect him to take plenty of shots on Wednesday.
Over his past eight games, Moody is 6-2 vs. this prop while shooting 52.8% from beyond the arc. Get this man the ball.
NBA prop picks made at 9:45 a.m. ET on Jan. 28, 2026.
