The red-hot Toronto Raptors host the New York Knicks at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday night.
The pregame narrative: Toronto has won four straight and can leapfrog New York for third place in the Eastern Conference with a win. The Knicks have a three-game winning streak of their own cooking, but they have the league's worst road ATS record and are 1.5-point underdogs as a result.
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Check out my Knicks vs. Raptors picks for Jan. 28, featuring Immanuel Quickley.
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Knicks vs. Raptors picks
Best bet: Quickley over 16.5 points (-117)
Quickley was traded from New York to Toronto alongside RJ Barrett two years ago as part of a blockbuster deal for OJ Anunoby.
I'm not calling for a "revenge game", but I'm sure Quickley would like to stick it to his old team.
Toronto's point guard is running hot, clearing this line in four straight games while averaging 25.3 points.
That includes a 40-point outburst against the Golden State Warriors and a 23-point game against the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday, when he shot 6-of-10 from deep.
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Getting things going from 3-point range would certainly help Quickley clear this point total.
The Knicks allow the sixth-most 3s per game (14.2) at the eighth-highest clip (36.8%).
New York's other defensive weakness is in the "short mid-range," described as shots outside of the paint but inside the free-throw line, per Cleaning the Glass. The team ranks 23rd in short mid-range defence.
Quickley takes 48% of his shots from 3-point range and 31% of his shots from the short mid-range.
Key stat: Quickley is 2-2 against this line vs. New York (1-0 this year) but has shot at least 50.0% from the field in every game.
Raptors moneyline pick
Raptors moneyline (-120): There's an old betting adage to fade teams when they arrive home after a long road trip, but I love the value on Toronto tonight.
The Raptors just went 4-1 on the West Coast, beating the reigning champion Thunder and picking up double-digit-point wins over the Portland Trail Blazers, Sacramento Kings, and Golden State Warriors.
Toronto is now 9-4 since Jan. 1 with the seventh-best net rating in the NBA (+4.4).
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New York's three-game winning streak won't shake me off this pick. Two of those wins came against bottom-five teams (Brooklyn Nets, Sacramento Kings), and the other was a three-point win over the Philadelphia 76ers.
Before that, the Knicks had lost four straight and eight of 10.
And on the season, New York is a league-worst 6-15-0 ATS on the road.
Knicks vs. Raptors picks made at 10:28 a.m. ET on Jan. 28, 2026.
