Victor Wembanyama is expected to return for the San Antonio Spurs in Saturday's NBA Cup semifinal against the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The latest: Wembanyama hasn't played since Nov. 14 due to a calf injury, but the superstar centre is back in time for a marquee showdown in Las Vegas. His Spurs are 10.5-point underdogs against the one-loss (and reigning champion) Thunder.
Check out these Spurs vs. Thunder prop picks for the game on Dec. 13, featuring prop bets on Wembanyama and Ajay Mitchell.
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Spurs vs. Thunder prop picks
Best bet: Mitchell over 2.5 assists (+100)
Jalen Williams returned recently for the Thunder, which bumped Mitchell down to third on OKC's pecking order for passers.
But he's still active enough for me to want this over at an enticing price.
- In his past five games — all with Williams back on the court — Mitchell has averaged 3.6 assists on 7.2 potential APG. Potential assists are passes that lead directly to a shot.
- On the season, Mitchell is 17-8 vs. this prop.
If Mitchell sticks around 7.0 potential assists on a game-to-game basis, he's going to be in an excellent spot to cash this assists prop.
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And I can see that happening, given that J-Dub's return means the Thunder are close to a full-strength team again (minus 3-point specialist Isaiah Joe).
Mitchell should take on more of a pass-first role, leaving most of the scoring to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Williams.
Without J-Dub, Mitchell averaged 12.5 field goal attempts in 19 games this year. With J-Dub, that average is down to 5.8 attempts.
Key stat: The Spurs allow the ninth-most assists per game to their opponents.
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Prop bet for Wemby's return
Wembanyama over 18.5 points (-112): Will Wembanyama be on a minutes restriction tonight? After missing a month with one of the NBA's scariest injuries, I'm sure that's a possibility.
But I also wouldn't expect the Spurs to rush their franchise player back early. So even if he doesn't handle his typical workload (34.7 minutes), Wemby should be good to play more than half the game.
-> Bet on Wembanyama in his return to the court
Under that assumption, I'm a big fan of this play.
- Wembanyama is averaging 26.2 PPG this season and is 10-2 vs. this prop.
- After shooting fewer 3s at the start of the year, he ratcheted up his perimeter shooting shortly before getting injured. In his last four games, he averaged 8.3 attempted 3s (he'd averaged 3.1 attempts in eight games before that).
Wemby scored 20+ points in two of his three matchups vs. the Thunder since January 2024.
As long as San Antonio doesn't have too much of a muzzle on him, this over will be very much in play.
Spurs vs. Thunder prop picks made at 1:25 p.m. ET on Dec. 13, 2025.
