Pistons vs. Bucks SGP predictions Nov. 22: Back Detroit behind strong performance from Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren has averaged 24.3 PPG so far this month. Photo by Ryan Sun/AP.
Jalen Duren has averaged 24.3 PPG so far this month. Photo by Ryan Sun/AP.

The Detroit Pistons are the hottest team in the NBA, and they'll look to continue rolling on Saturday night against the shorthanded Milwaukee Bucks.

The pregame narrative: Giannis Antetokounmpo (groin) is out for the Bucks, who are 8-point home underdogs against a Detroit team that has won 11 straight games. The Pistons are 9-2 ATS during their win streak.

Check out my Pistons vs. Bucks SGP predictions for Nov. 22, featuring Jalen Duren and Ryan Rollins.

northstar bullet point BET FINDER: Search & Bet!

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NBA

Pistons vs. Bucks predictions

Parlay: Duren over 17.5 points | Rollins 20+ points | Pistons -4.5 (+375)

Duren over 17.5 points (-121): Duren's scoring numbers have exploded this season, as he's up to 20.6 PPG through 13 games.

In 78 games last year, he averaged 11.8 PPG.

How has the fourth-year centre nearly doubled his scoring average? Yes, he's taking more field goal attempts, but the real answer is at the free throw line.

  • So far this season, Duren is averaging 7.3 free throw attempts and has a 77.9 FT%.
  • In his first three years combined, he averaged 2.8 attempts and posted a 69.1 FT%.

-> Build your Pistons vs. Bucks SGP at NorthStar Bets

The Bucks allow the fourth-most free throws per game. So if Duren is looking to draw contact, I expect that he will.

In November, Duren is averaging 24.3 PPG and is 7-1 vs. this point total.

NBA SGP legs

Rollins 20+ points (-152): Like Duren, Rollins is a fourth-year pro who's having an impact at the game's highest level.

But unlike Duren, Rollins was a late second-round pick from an unheralded basketball program who was a rather anonymous player prior to this season.

But it's time to learn the name.

The former Toledo guard is shooting 44.3% from deep so far this year while starting in 15 of 16 games for the Bucks. He only had 19 starts through his first three seasons in the NBA.

-> Back Jalen Duren and Ryan Rollins on Saturday night

Rollins matched a season-high with 32 points last time out in his second game playing without Giannis. In the first game without Giannis, Rollins had 25 points on 10-of-15 shooting.

Giannis is out again tonight, and Rollins should see a significant shot volume as a result. He's 4-1 vs. this scoring milestone in his past five games.

Pistons -4.5 (-182): Giannis' absence is a notable part of why I like the visiting Pistons with some points on Saturday.

But even with Giannis, the Bucks haven't been anything more than a middling team. The Pistons, on the other hand, have been excellent.

  • Detroit sits atop the Eastern Conference and has the fourth-highest net rating in the NBA (+6.7).
  • Entering Saturday, the Pistons are on an 11-game win streak. They've covered this number in 10 of those games.

Milwaukee (8-8) ranks 19th in net rating (-1.4) and is 2-8 ATS in its past 10 games.

Pistons vs. Bucks predictions made at 11:32 a.m. ET Nov. 22, 2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

NorthStar Bets Responsible Gaming Policy: Click Here
NorthStar Bets Editorial Standards and Principals: Click Here