I have my sights set on two defencemen in the Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Montreal Canadiens game on Saturday.
The pregame narrative: The newest chapter of this historic rivalry is expected to be high-scoring, with both teams struggling to keep goals out right now. Because of that, I believe there's value in backing blue-liners Morgan Rielly and Noah Dobson.
Check out my Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens prop picks for the game on Nov. 22 in Montreal.
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Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens prop picks
Best Bet: Rielly to score 1+ points (-118)
The Leafs are going through it right now, but Rielly has been a consistent bright spot in the early going of a bounce-back season.
He has 16 points in 20 games, playing north of 22 minutes per game.
The injuries to defenceman Chris Tanev and Brandon Carlo have forced Rielly into the top defensive pairing with Oliver Ekman-Larsson.
He also remains an integral part of the top power play.
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So the chances should be there, and the Canadiens' goaltending has been woeful.
- The Habs rank 12th in shots allowed but give up the fourth-most goals per game (3.60).
- Sam Montembeault is expected to start for Montreal and he has a 3.72 GAA to go along with a .852 SV%.
Key stat: Rielly has cashed this wager in eight of the past 10 games.
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Dobson to score 1+ points (+100): On the other side, Toronto has even bigger defensive problems.
Joseph Woll is back, but it doesn't matter who's in net when the team in front of him allows 31.1 shots per game. That's led to the third-most goals against (3.67/game).
Toronto has allowed three or more goals in eight of the past nine games, so there's good reason to find a way to fade the defence.
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And I think Dobson is a strong candidate to do damage.
The first year Hab has 13 points this season, including nine over his past 12 games.
Dobson has always been a point-producing defenceman. In 2023-24, he had 70 points with the New York Islanders.
He almost certainly won't reach those heights this season, but he's still an offensive threat.
Dobson ranks fourth on the Canadiens with 35 shots and has a good opportunity to get back on the score sheet tonight.
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens prop picks made at 9:30 a.m. ET Nov. 22, 2025.
