A pair of Texas teams fighting for College Football Playoff spots are featured in this week's college football picks.
The pregame narrative: The Texas Longhorns need to thrive the rest of the way, and receiver DeAndre Moore should help that cause against an overmatched Arkansas Razorbacks defence. Elsewhere, the North Texas Mean Green look to build on the third-best ATS record in the country.
Check out Saturday's best college football Week 13 picks, featuring a prediction for the Pitt Panthers vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets matchup.
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College football picks Week 13
Best bet: Moore over 44.5 receiving yards (-120)
The Longhorns' chances at a College Football Playoff berth are on life support. They can't take their foot off the gas, and picking up some style points along the way wouldn't hurt.
No. 17 Texas hosts the unranked Arkansas Razorbacks, who've lost eight in a row while playing some pitiful defence.
During that eight-game losing streak, the Razorbacks have allowed 37.8 points and 468.2 yards per game.
-> Back DeAndre Moore, No. 17 Texas to run it up vs. Arkansas
The Longhorns should be able to pick apart the Razorbacks on the ground and through the air. According to Game On Paper, Arkansas' defence ranks 120th in EPA per pass and 112th in EPA per rush.
Moore is viewed as the WR2 for Texas, behind sophomore Ryan Wingo. Entering Week 13, Wingo has been dealing with a thumb injury and isn't feeling 100%.
There's optimism that Wingo will play, according to a report from On3, but there's no guarantee he sees his typical WR1 workload.
And even if he does, Moore should have enough opportunities to clear this modest line against a dreadful defence. He's 6-1 vs. this prop in his past seven games and is coming off a team-high 75 yards against Georgia.
Key stat: From Week 4 onward, Moore has averaged 59.3 yards while catching at least three passes in all seven games.
More college football best bets
Pitt/Georgia Tech over 61.5 points (-114): Based on success rate, Georgia Tech has a top-10 offence and a bottom-25 defence. Pitt, meanwhile, has a bottom-25 offence and a top-10 defence.
I expect offence to win out. Here's why:
- The strength of Pitt's defence is in the run game, where the Panthers rank eighth in yards per attempt. But the Yellow Jackets have no problem advancing the ball through the air.
- Georgia Tech quarterback Haynes King has 300+ passing yards and a completion rate north of 70.0% in each of his past three games.
- Pitt might not have a terribly efficient offence, but both teams have found ways to score this season. The Panthers and Yellow Jackets both rank in the top 20 in points per game, averaging north of 35.0 PPG each.
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Overs are 5-2 in Georgia Tech's past seven games.
North Texas -18.5 (-108): This is a boatload of points for a road team to cover. But North Texas just did it last week, and I like the Mean Green's chances to do it again.
- Last week at UAB, the Mean Green won by 29 points as 18-point road favourites.
- On the season, North Texas is now 9-1 straight up and 8-2 ATS. The team has covered each of its four biggest spreads, spanning from 13 points to 27.5 points.
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The Mean Green currently sit outside the CFP rankings, but they have a good shot at a playoff berth if they keep rolling. And behind the nation's No. 1 offence (45.3 PPG), I think they can.
The difference in offence between North Texas and Rice is staggering. The Owls rank dead-last in NCAA Division I in offensive success rate, and they're averaging just 19.2 PPG vs. D-I opponents.
North Texas' average point differential this season is +21.2, and Rice shouldn't be able to do much to slow this squad down.
College football picks made at 1:55 p.m. on Nov. 19, 2025.
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