There's only one NHL game on Tuesday night, and it's a Western Conference Finals rematch between the Edmonton Oilers and Dallas Stars.
The pregame narrative: Edmonton returns home after a six-game road trip, where it went 3-3 despite some goaltending issues. The Oilers are favoured against the team they've eliminated from each of the past two conference finals, with Stars forward Mikko Rantanen suspended.
Check out my Stars vs. Oilers predictions for the game on Nov. 25, featuring a fade on Connor McDavid.
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Stars vs. Oilers predictions
Best Bet: Stars moneyline (+120)
It's hard to bet against the Oilers at home, where they own a solid 5-1-2 record.
But I can't get behind Edmonton with its goaltending issues, and the Stars are one of the league's best road teams.
- Stuart Skinner (.885 SV%) and Calvin Pickard (.851 SV%) have combined for the worst team save percentage in the NHL.
- Dallas is 7-1-3 on the road, while averaging 3.54 goals per game. For context, the Carolina Hurricanes' 3.50 goals per game rank third in the NHL.
The Stars already hit the Oilers for four goals in a victory earlier this year. I expect their offence to come through and do damage tonight, even without Rantanen.
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Losing the big Finn to suspension is costly, but the Oilers have gotten shelled by lineups far worse than what Dallas will ice tonight.
And Edmonton is also missing some talent. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Jake Walman and Kasperi Kapanen are all sidelined with injuries.
At the end of the day, I feel confident backing the team with better goaltending. And Jake Oettinger is light-years clear of Skinner or Pickard.
Key stat: The Oilers are giving up 4.3 goals per game in their last 10 games.
Best NHL prop picks
McDavid under 1.5 points (-132): McDavid is one of the best players on the planet (I would say the best if Nathan MacKinnon hadn't hit another gear this year), but he still falls under this line more often than not.
The superstar forward has multi-point outings in 11 of 24 games (54.1% under rate), which is right in line with the implied probability of this wager (56.9%).
-> Fade McDavid on Tuesday night
Dallas is finding its form defensively, so it makes sense that bettors have to pay a little more juice on this prop. I'm happy to do so.
The Stars have allowed just 2.5 goals per game in their last 10 games. In that span, they're ceding the seventh-fewest chances and 11th-fewest shots on a 60-minute basis, per Natural Stat Trick.
Stars vs. Oilers predictions made at 11:07 a.m. ET on Nov. 25, 2025.
