Jannik Sinner vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime ATP Finals odds and best bet: Expect a lengthy match between familiar foes

Check out this best bet for Sinner vs. Auger Aliassime. Photo by Christophe Ena/AP.
Check out this best bet for Sinner vs. Auger Aliassime. Photo by Christophe Ena/AP.

Two top 10 players meet in a thrilling group stage match at the ATP Finals.

The pre-match narrative: Jannik Sinner continues to assert his dominance as the No. 1 player in the world. This will be the fourth time he meets with Canadian Felix Auger-Aliassime in the last three months.

Check out my Sinner vs. Aliassime ATP Finals best bet.

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ATP Finals odds

Sinner vs. Aliassime best bet

Best Bet: Over 20.5 games (-109)

There is a high level of familiarity between these two right now.

Sinner and Auger-Aliassime played each other three times since Aug. 15, with the most recent contest coming eight days before this ATP Finals meeting.

In that match, the Canadian was able to grind out a close match with his Italian counterpart (6-4, 7-6).

The ATP Finals is played on indoor hard courts, which is a surface both players dominate.

  • Sinner: 10-0 in 2025
  • Auger-Aliassime: 15-3 in 2025

-> Bet on Sinner vs. Auger-Aliassime at NorthStar Bets

Their ATP Paris final was played on an indoor hard court, partly explaining why Auger-Aliassime was able to keep it competitive when he struggled in this matchup all season.

But I also have to believe the experience gained from playing each other so much is also a contributing factor.

With another match under their belts, I expect this game to last even longer than the final played a week ago.

The Canadian is playing the most consistent tennis of his career and is in the top 10 for the first time since early 2023.

If there was ever a time for him to be competitive with Sinner, it's now.

Key stat: Felix Auger-Aliassime is 22-5 in his last 24 matches, with three of those losses coming against Sinner.

Sinner vs. Auger-Aliassime best bet made at 2:14 p.m. on 11/9/2025.

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