The Philadelphia Eagles and Green Bay Packers headline NFL Week 10 on Monday night.
The pregame narrative: The Eagles are coming off a blowout win over the New York Giants, while the Packers lost an ugly game against the Carolina Panthers last Sunday. Despite that, Philly is the slight underdog at Lambeau Field for Monday Night Football.
Check out my Eagles vs. Packers SGP predictions for Nov. 10, featuring prop bets on Saquon Barkley and Luke Musgrave.
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Eagles vs. Packers predictions
SGP: Eagles +3.5 | Barkley under 75.5 rushing yards | Musgrave over 29.5 receiving yards (+575)
Eagles +3.5 (-177): It feels like the Eagles are a much worse team than last season, but the squad is sitting pretty at 6-2.
The underlying stats aren't good, but it hasn't stopped Philly from scoring 26.0 points per game (10th-most in the NFL).
Jalen Hurts and the offence are cooking right now, too. They've scored 66 points over the last two games.
Hurts is having an MVP-calibre season, completing 70.2% of his passes for 15 touchdowns and one interception.
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Thanks to the infamous tush push, he's added five scores on the ground. Overall, the Eagles have scored at least 17 points in every game.
Green Bay's offence hasn't been as consistent.
The Packers have two big letdown losses where the offence was a no-show. They lost to the Cleveland Browns, 13-10, and most recently lost to the Panthers, 16-13, as 13.5-point favourites.
I believe the Eagles have a higher floor, and that gives me confidence that they will keep this contest close.
Monday Night Football SGP picks
Barkley under 75.5 rushing yards (-112): Despite the Eagles' success, Barkley is having a down year by his standards.
- 64.9 rushing yards per game.
- 2-6 against this line.
He exploded against the Giants in Week 9, rushing for 150 yards, but Green Bay's defence produced a much tougher challenge.
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With the offseason acquisition of Micah Parsons, the Packers' defence instantly transformed into one of the best units in the league.
Green Bay allows the fewest rushing yards per game (89.4). Barkley should struggle to break off big runs on Monday.
Musgrave over 29.5 receiving yards (-114): With the injury to Tucker Kraft, Musgrave is the next man up.
Remember, the tight end was a second-round pick for the Packers in 2023 but had his opportunities limited with the emergence of Kraft.
So he should fill the void nicely.
Musgrave played a season-high 30 snaps last week and was the featured tight end once Kraft went down.
The 25-year-old finished with three catches for 34 yards. I expect him to see even more of the field this week.
That gives him a nice floor to work with, and in a close game with the Eagles, Green Bay should pass more than usual.
Plus, it helps that this final leg boosts the SGP from +275 to +575 due to some negative correlation.
Eagles vs. Packers predictions made at 11:37 a.m. ET 11/09/2025.
