Top European soccer picks and predictions Nov. 30: Expect a dominant performance from Real Madrid

Check out these soccer picks for Sunday, Nov. 30. Photo by Petros Giannakouris/AP.
Check out these soccer picks for Sunday, Nov. 30. Photo by Petros Giannakouris/AP.

The top soccer teams in Europe are in action this weekend across various leagues.

The pre-weekend narrative: Real Madrid aims to stay in first place in La Liga and can secure its position for at least another week with a win over Girona. In England, look for Liverpool to bounce back from a bad run of form.

Check out this weekend's best European soccer picks and predictions for games on Nov. 30, featuring a best bet on Atalanta vs. Fiorentina.

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Soccer picks: Nov. 30

Girona vs. Real Madrid (Nov. 30, 3 p.m. ET)

Best bet: Real Madrid halftime/fulltime (-109)

Real Madrid continues to be the gold standard in European soccer. Los Blancos sit atop the table with 32 points in 13 matches.

On the other side, Girona sits 18th in the standings with a -13 goal differential, which is tied for the worst in the league.

This is a David vs. Goliath matchup, so I'm not deterred from backing Madrid on the road.

-> Bet on Real Madrid to win

Just take a look at their advanced stats, per Fotmob, and where they rank in La Liga:

  • 7.28 average match rating (2nd)
  • 2.2 goals per match (2nd)
  • 0.9 goals against per match (3rd)
  • 31.0 expected goals (1st)
  • Six clean sheets (1st)

There is too much working against Girona in this fixture. I expect Real Madrid to grab an early lead and never look back.

Key stat: Los Blancos have the second-highest average goal differential in Spain (+1.3)

EPL prediction

Matchup: West Ham vs. Liverpool (Nov. 30, 9:05 a.m. ET)

Liverpool to win (-134): This is a great spot to buy low on Liverpool.

The Reds have struggled lately, now sitting 12th on the EPL table and most recently losing 4-1 to Dutch side PSV in the Champions League.

Liverpool is on a three-match losing streak, but losses to PSV, Manchester City and Nottingham Forest are all acceptable.

Losing this Sunday would not be. West Ham is in the relegation battle, sitting 17th in the Premier League with 11 points in 12 games.

The London club is one of four EPL teams to hold a -10 goal differential or worse.

Liverpool isn't likely to win the league or even finish in the top four, but it is far from a bad side, and the Reds should be able to handle one of England's worst teams.

-> Bet on Sunday's EPL matches

Serie A best bet

Matchup: Atalanta vs. Fiorentina (Nov. 30, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Atalanta to win (-134): I really like the value on Atalanta at home.

Across all competitions, the side has lost just once at home in eight matches this season. That defeat came against Sassuolo, who are a top-10 team.

Sunday's opponent, Fiorentina, is in 19th and has yet to win in 12 Serie A matches. It's quite the drop-off in standard.

To add, the side has conceded the third most xG (18.2), while having the worst average match rating in the Serie A (6.56)

It seems like a no-brainer to back the home side here at a playable price.

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Soccer picks made at 9:30 a.m. on Nov. 27, 2025.

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