Oilers vs. Maple Leafs picks Dec. 13: Take the over, bet on Matthews and Draisaitl to come through

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Check out Saturday's best Oilers vs. Maple Leafs picks! Photos by AP.

The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Edmonton Oilers in Hockey Night in Canada's marquee matchup.

The pregame narrative: Edmonton made waves yesterday, trading Stuart Skinner for Tristan Jarry, among some other pieces. The newly-acquired netminder is expected to start tonight against a Maple Leafs team that has points in six straight games (4-0-2).

Check out my Oilers vs. Maple Leafs picks for the Dec. 13 game, featuring Auston Matthews and Leon Draisaitl.

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Oilers vs. Maple Leafs picks

Best Bet: Over 6.5 goals (-108)

I have a feeling fans in attendance will be treated to a high-scoring thriller.

Toronto has gotten fantastic goaltending out of Dennis Hildeby, but we're reaching uncharted territory for the rookie netminder.

He'll be starting a fourth consecutive game after never making back-to-back starts before Joseph Woll went down with an injury.

The Leafs have given up an average of 31.6 shots per game during this run, so it's fair to assume his .962 SV% in December will regress eventually.

-> Bet on tonight's Oilers vs. Maple Leafs matchup now!

Edmonton, led by Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, has one of the most electric offences in the NHL. It has scored 22 goals in its last four games and ranks fifth in goals per game (3.32).

Right behind Edmonton in that metric is Toronto (3.30 goals/game).

I don't really understand the Skinner-for-Jarry move and view it as more of a lateral, change-of-scenery trade, rather than a clear-cut upgrade.

Jarry has a career .909 SV% and got lit up by the Maple Leafs twice this year as a member of the Penguins. He gave up seven goals on 33 shots in those contests (.787 SV%).

Key stat: Five of the last six games between the Leafs and Oilers have gone over this total.

Best NHL prop picks

Parlay: Draisaitl and Matthews to each record a point (-127): I'm expecting the scoreboard operator to be busy, so it only makes sense to back one big dog from each team.

Draisaitl and Matthews have -385 and -235 odds to record a point, respectively. Unplayable on their own, but right in the sweet spot for a two-leg parlay.

-> Bet on Matthews and Draisaitl at NorthStar Bets

  • Matthews is starting to look like his old self, with points in six of his last seven games. In that span, he's averaging a whopping 4.42 shots per game.
  • Draisaitl has points in 12 of his last 13 games, with 22 total points in that span. He has nine points in his last four games.

Oilers vs. Maple Leafs picks made at 10:36 a.m. ET Dec. 13, 2025.

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