The Los Angeles Rams and Atlanta Falcons square off in an NFC showdown on Monday Night Football.
The pregame narrative: The Rams are locked into the fifth or sixth seed in the NFC, while the Falcons have no chance at the postseason. I expect both teams to let it fly in a game where the stakes aren't very high.
Check out my Rams vs. Falcons SGP predictions for Dec. 29, featuring Bijan Robinson.
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Rams vs. Falcons SGP
SGP: Falcons +10.5 | Over 49.5 points | Robinson over 75.5 rushing yards (+320)
Falcons +10.5 (-175): Atlanta doesn't have anything to play for, but it has been playing some of its best football lately.
The Falcons enter this game after back-to-back wins, stealing both on the road.
Atlanta has been solid against this number, specifically, covering this spread in 12 of 15 games this season.
-> Click here to bet the Falcons on Monday Night Football!
Additionally, the Rams have been a leaky bunch defensively. They've allowed 30-plus points in three of their last four games.
The Falcons have enough playmakers to score and keep this game within the number.
Lastly, for those who are into trends, this is an easy one to handicap:
- Atlanta is 2-6 as an ATS favourite
- Atlanta is 5-1-1 as an ATS underdog
Back the Falcons in a spot they've thrived in all season long.
Monday Night Football SGP picks
Over 49.5 points (-109): This should be a high-scoring game with plenty of playmakers on both sides.
Atlanta is finding its groove offensively. The Falcons have scored 55 points across their last two games, with Kirk Cousins tossing five touchdowns in those contests.
Los Angeles' offensive success is well documented. It's scoring 37.0 points per game across its last five, while Rams games are averaging 62.4 total points during this stretch.
-> Take the over at NorthStar Bets!
Matthew Stafford is continuing to play at an MVP level. The superstar QB is averaging 324.4 yards per game with 13 touchdowns in his last five performances.
Another reason for liking the over has a lot to do with the final pick of this same-game parlay.
Robinson over 75.5 rushing yards (-115): Bettors might not look at the Rams as an exploitable matchup.
But here's why bettors should back Robinson
Firstly, Robinson is among the NFL's best running backs. He has 1,250 rushing yards and is averaging an impressive 5.0 yards per carry.
-> Bet on Bijan Robinson to dominate at NorthStar Bets!
Secondly, this is a mark he beats routinely. Robinson has cleared this number in four consecutive games and six of his last seven contests.
Thirdly, Los Angeles' run defence is emerging as a problem spot. The Seattle Seahawks rushed for 6.8 yards per carry in Week 16 against the Rams, who are ceding 4.9 yards per carry across their last three contests.
Rams vs. Falcons predictions made at 12:40 p.m. ET on Dec. 29, 2025.
