The final week of the NFL regular season is here, and we're sifting through the chaos and delivering picks for each contest.
The Week 18 narrative: Some games mean everything for teams, and some mean absolutely nothing. But sometimes it's the squad you least expect that puts it all on the line. Which NFL teams are going to show up and cover the number on Saturday and Sunday?
Check out our staff's NFL Week 18 ATS picks for predictions on every game.
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NFL Week 18 ATS picks
NorthStar Bets' Avery Perri, Jordan Horrobin, Spencer Closs, Chris Toman and Steven Psihogios offer up their NFL Week 18 ATS picks for all 16 games.
NFL odds as of 11:30 a.m. ET on Friday, Jan. 2, 2026.
NFL Week 18 predictions: Saturday doubleheader
Panthers vs. Buccaneers (Saturday, Jan. 3: 4:30 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Buccaneers -3
Toman says: The Bucs are a terrible buy right now. They haven't covered this number once since their Week 9 bye, winning by three points once over that stretch. That said, in their biggest game of the season, I'm willing to bet on their talent and am backing them to buck that trend with the NFC South on the line.
Staff picks: Perri (TBD) | Horrobin (TB) | Closs (TBD) | Toman (TB) | Psihogios (CAR)
Seahawks vs. 49ers (Saturday, Jan. 3: 8 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Seahawks -1.5
Toman says: Getting any amount of points with the 49ers right now feels like a no-brainer, no disrespect to the NFC-best Seahawks. The 49ers are 7-1 straight up with quarterback Brock Purdy, winning all six games since he returned from injury. They've put up 40-plus points three times over that stretch, going 5-1 ATS, and winning all but one of those games by double digits.
Staff picks: Perri (TBD) | Horrobin (SF) | Closs (TBD) | Toman (SF) | Psihogios (SF)
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NFL Week 18 ATS picks: Early Sunday slate
Browns vs. Bengals (Sunday, Jan. 4: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Bengals -7.5
Toman says: It's a shame Joe Burrow missed so much time, leading to a lost season for the Bengals. Outside of a Week 15 no-show vs. the Ravens, they've been an offensive powerhouse since Burrow returned from a foot injury. Cincinnati has scored 30-plus points in four of the five games and I'm confident they'll end the year by winning big against the offensively challenged Browns.
Staff picks: Perri (TBD) | Horrobin (CIN) | Closs (TBD) | Toman (CIN) | Psihogios (CLE)
Cowboys vs. Giants (Sunday, Jan. 4: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Cowboys -3.5
Toman says: New York has experienced a lot of losing this season but has been competitive in many games. The Giants covered this number against the Cowboys in Week 2 and getting up for a season-ending game vs. a divisional rival shouldn't be an issue. Dallas doesn't have trouble scoring, but its defence should give plenty back against the Jaxson Dart-led Giants.
Staff picks: Perri (TBD) | Horrobin (NYG) | Closs (TBD) | Toman (NYG) | Psihogios (DAL)
Packers vs. Vikings (Sunday, Jan. 4: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Vikings -7.5
Horrobin says: If you want to know what Green Bay looks like in a meaningless game, just go back to its Week 17 performance against Baltimore. The Packers got run over, allowing a staggering 307 rushing yards in a 41-24 home loss. Against the Clayton Tune-led Packers, look for Minnesota to collect its fifth consecutive ATS victory before Cancun beckons.
Staff picks: Perri (TBD) | Horrobin (MIN) | Closs (TBD) | Toman (MIN) | Psihogios (GB)
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Colts vs. Texans (Sunday, Jan. 4: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Texans -10
Psihogios says: Indianapolis is out of the playoff picture and turning to Riley Leonard in Week 18. Leonard threw for 145 scoreless yards and an interception in his lone true appearance in 2025, and now he has to battle the best defence in the NFL. The Texans are ceding the fewest points per game (16.6) and are fifth in sacks (46).
Staff picks: Perri (TBD) | Horrobin (HOU) | Closs (TBD) | Toman (HOU) | Psihogios (HOU)
Saints vs. Falcons (Sunday, Jan. 4: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Falcons -3.5
Horrobin says: I can bank a field goal and a hook with the Saints amid their four-game win streak (and five-game ATS win streak)? Sign me up for that. Regardless of whether Atlanta can play spoiler to the Bucs, the biggest motivating factor in this game is the Offensive Rookie of the Year case for Tyler Shough. In his past three games, Shough has a 109.8 passer rating and zero interceptions.
Staff picks: Perri (TBD) | Horrobin (NO) | Closs (TBD) | Toman (NO) | Psihogios (NO)
Titans vs. Jaguars (Sunday, Jan. 4: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Jaguars -13
Horrobin says: It's a lot of points, but Jacksonville has won by a greater margin than this five times during its seven-game win streak. That includes a 25-3 drubbing of the Titans at the end of November in Tennessee. The Titans had fewer than 200 total yards in that game, and I expect them to once again struggle against the red-hot Jags defence (15.6 opponent PPG in their past seven games).
Staff picks: Perri (TBD) | Horrobin (JAX) | Closs (TBD) | Toman (TEN) | Psihogios (TEN)
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NFL ATS predictions: Late Sunday afternoon slate
Cardinals vs. Rams (Sunday, Jan. 4: 4:25 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Rams -7.5
Horrobin says: Reports throughout the week suggest that starters will play for both sides despite there being very little at stake (Arizona is out, and L.A. could be locked into the NFC's No. 6 seed before kick-off). I like the Rams, who beat Arizona by four touchdowns a month ago. L.A. is 5-2 ATS at home this season, while Arizona is 1-7 ATS in its past eight overall.
Staff picks: Perri (TBD) | Horrobin (LAR) | Closs (TBD) | Toman (LAR) | Psihogios (LAR)
Lions vs. Bears (Sunday, Jan. 4: 4:25 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Bears -3
Horrobin says: Detroit is 1-6 ATS in its past seven games, coming off back-to-back outright losses as a 7.5-point favourite. While I'm sure the Lions don't want Ben Johnson to twist the knife on their failed season, I don't think they can stop it. Chicago has covered or pushed a -3 spread in six straight home games, and a win ensures the Bears hit the postseason as the NFC's No. 2 seed.
Staff picks: Perri (TBD) | Horrobin (CHI) | Closs (TBD) | Toman (DET) | Psihogios (CHI)
Chiefs vs. Raiders (Sunday, Jan. 4: 4:25 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Chiefs -6
Horrobin says: Do the Raiders have one more dud in them? I'll say yes. A loss on Sunday would lock up the No. 1 pick for Las Vegas after its 34-10 defeat against the similarly dreadful Giants at home last week. Amid a 10-game losing streak, the Raiders have a -14.7 average point differential. KC has nothing to play for, but the team covered in Chris Oladokun's debut and has three extra days of rest.
Staff picks: Perri (TBD) | Horrobin (KC) | Closs (TBD) | Toman (KC) | Psihogios (LV)
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Chargers vs. Broncos (Sunday, Jan. 4: 4:25 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Broncos -13
Horrobin says: Denver faced an army of backups last week in Kansas City and failed to win convincingly. That's been a theme for the Broncos, who are 13-3 but only have two wins by multiple scores. The Broncos know a win will grant them the AFC's No. 1 seed, and that should certainly happen, but I don't expect it to come by this margin.
Staff picks: Perri (TBD) | Horrobin (LAC) | Closs (TBD) | Toman (LAC) | Psihogios (LAC)
Dolphins vs. Patriots (Sunday, Jan. 4: 4:25 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Patriots -11.5
Psihogios says: New England can move to first in the AFC, but it needs a Denver loss. The Patriots could fall to third with a loss, but that depends on what happens with Jacksonville. In short, this game might not mean very much. The Dolphins played spoiler in Week 17, and Quinn Ewers will continue to showcase his skills. Miami and New England played a close game earlier this year, and I expect a repeat effort.
Staff picks: Perri (TBD) | Horrobin (NE) | Closs (TBD) | Toman (NE) | Psihogios (MIA)
Jets vs. Bills (Sunday, Jan. 4: 4:25 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Bills -7.5
Psihogios says: We might only see Josh Allen and James Cook for a drive or two, but Mitch Trubisky and Ray Davis are likely still better than what the Jets are throwing out there. The Brady Cook era hasn't been successful in New York, as the QB has tossed one touchdown to seven interceptions while taking 18 sacks in four games.
Staff picks: Perri (TBD) | Horrobin (BUF) | Closs (TBD) | Toman (BUF) | Psihogios (BUF)
Commanders vs. Eagles (Sunday, Dec. Jan. 4: 4:25 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Eagles -4
Psihogios says: Jalen Hurts is resting in Week 17, but that only means we get to see the Irish Assassin come in. Tanner McKee was sensational in his two appearances last year, completing 30-of-45 attempts for 323 passing yards, four touchdowns and zero interceptions. That's better than anything we've seen out of Josh Johnson this year, who has zero passing touchdowns and one interception this year.
Staff picks: Perri (TBD) | Horrobin (WSH) | Closs (TBD) | Toman (WSH) | Psihogios (PHI)
Sunday Night Football ATS picks
Ravens vs. Steelers (Sunday, Jan. 4: 8:20 p.m. ET)
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NorthStar Bets line: Ravens -3.5
Toman says: Lamar Jackson said he's playing after missing Week 17 with a back issue. The star QB has missed several games this season and isn't running as he has in past years. Given that, and the Ravens' overall mediocrity, it's hard for me not to take the points with the home Steelers despite a brutal Week 17 loss to Cleveland. Baltimore is an AFC-worst 6-10 ATS and lost straight up to Pittsburgh in Week 14.
Staff picks: Perri (TBD) | Horrobin (PIT) | Closs (TBD) | Toman (PIT) | Psihogios (PIT)
NFL ATS picks: Week 17 + season records
- Toman: 9-7 (125-123-8)
- Psihogios: 9-7 (122-126-8)
- Perri: 12-4 (122-126-8)
- Closs: 4-12 (116-132-8)
- Horrobin: 5-11 (114-134-8)
