A pair of star receivers are worth backing at plus-money odds on Sunday Night Football, as the Detroit Lions face the Philadelphia Eagles.
The pregame narrative: Philly's A.J. Brown hasn't been shy about his frustrations this season, and he's getting a quality matchup that should give him a good chance to score. As for Detroit's Amon-Ra St. Brown, there's been nothing for either him or his team to complain about.
Check out our top Lions vs. Eagles SNF TD picks.
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Lions vs. Eagles TD picks: Week 11
Best Bet: St. Brown to score a TD (+115)
It's difficult not to bite on a price like this with St. Brown, who's as active in the red zone as any receiver.
- St. Brown leads the NFL in red zone receptions (13). He's second in RZ targets (17) and TDs (7).
- His opportunity volume overall is also elite. St. Brown has a 31.4% target share, per Rotowire, which ranks in the 99th percentile.
- Inside the 10-yard line, St. Brown has 1+ targets in six of nine games.
-> Bet on Amon-Ra St. Brown vs. the Eagles on Sunday Night Football
Last week, St. Brown had a quiet day by his standards, catching five passes for 58 yards. But he did see three targets inside the 10-yard line, and he converted one of them into a nine-yard score.
The Eagles' defence hasn't allowed many passing TDs this year, but I'm buying St. Brown's target volume more than anything.
Philly is fully healthy on defence, meaning there will be plenty of capable run stuffers on the field. St. Brown should get some quality looks, as usual.
Key stat: St. Brown is 5-3 vs. this prop with eight touchdowns in his past eight games.
Sunday Night Football TD picks
Brown to score a TD (+120): Brown is the squeakiest wheel in the NFL right now, and I think he'll finally get some grease on Sunday night.
Coming off his third consecutive season as a second-team All-Pro wideout, Brown has been curiously quiet on the field this year. But he's letting everyone hear about it off the field.
In the latest chapter of an ongoing soap opera, Brown reportedly met with Eagles ownership this week to express his discontent, according to ESPN.
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It's no guarantee that Brown airing some grievances will lead to an influx of opportunities. But this week's matchup should have Philly looking his way anyway.
Detroit has allowed 13 receiving touchdowns to wide receivers through nine games, which works out to 1.44 per week. That's tied for the second-most in the NFL.
Brown has only two red zone targets since Week 4, but the Eagles have only attempted six red zone passes in that span. So it's not like he's routinely been passed over for other receivers.
Three of Detroit's starting defensive backs are out, so Brown should be able to take advantage.
Lions vs. Eagles predictions made at 1:04 p.m. ET Nov. 16, 2025.
