The Phoenix Suns and Atlanta Hawks are both rolling, but only one can come out of the Mortgage Matchup Center with a win on Sunday night.
The pregame narrative: Phoenix is on a five-game win streak, winning each of those games by at least nine points. Atlanta is a slight road favourite tonight, though, riding the hot hand of Jalen Johnson.
Check out my Hawks vs. Suns SGP predictions for Nov. 16, featuring Johnson and Dillon Brooks.
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Hawks vs. Suns SGP
Parlay: Suns +4.5 | Johnson over 37.5 PRA | Brooks 15+ points (+350)
Suns +4.5 (-175): It's tough to bet against either of these teams right now, as they're both 5-1 ATS in their past six games and 8-5 SU on the season.
But in an SGP format, I'm happy rolling with the Suns while banking a few extra points.
- Phoenix ranks ninth in net rating (+4.5), which is slightly better than Atlanta (+3.4, 12th)
- The Suns are 6-1 SU at home, covering this number each time. They've also covered a +4.5 spread in nine of their past 10 games overall.
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Both teams have been off for the past two days, but Phoenix should still have somewhat of a rest advantage.
The Suns have been at home since Nov. 13, while the Hawks are about to play in a fifth city in nine days.
NBA SGP legs
Johnson over 37.5 points/rebounds/assists (-121): Johnson is making his ascent to stardom in Year 5 with the Hawks, and it's even easier for him to do that with Trae Young on the sidelines.
Young (knee), who hasn't played since Oct. 29, will sit out again tonight. Here's what Johnson has accomplished in his point guard's absence:
- 22.0 PPG
- 11.0 RPG
- 7.4 APG
- 38+ PRA in 4 of 7
-> Bet on Jalen Johnson to put on a show in Phoenix!
Johnson is a double-double threat as a rebounder every night, but he's also leading the Hawks in assists with Young out. The 23-year-old does it all, and he's flirting with a 60.0 FG% in the process.
According to Fantasy Pros, the Suns are allowing the fourth-most points and the second-most assists to small forwards. Johnson should go off.
Brooks 15+ points (-186): Speaking of going off, how about the start Brooks is having this season?
The Mississauga, Ontario native has been a reliable scorer in all seven games with the Suns, who he was traded to this offseason in the Kevin Durant deal.
Brooks is getting to the line at a career-best rate (7.1 free throws per 100 possessions), and he's cashing in at a career-best 93.3% clip.
Adept free-throw shooting will raise the floor for any scorer, and in Brooks' case, it has helped lift him to 15+ points in every game so far. He's averaging 20.3 PPG with his new team.
Brooks also happens to be coming off his top-scoring output of the season — 32 points on 12-of-18 shooting — so I'm happy to bet on him staying hot.
Hawks vs. Suns SGP made at 11:10 a.m. ET 11/16/2025.
