Steph Curry is set to return to the Golden State Warriors' lineup on Friday when they host the Minnesota Timberwolves at Chase Center.
The pregame narrative: Curry missed five games with a quadriceps injury, and Golden State went 3-2 SU and ATS in his absence. The Warriors are slim favourites tonight against a Timberwolves team which has won five of its last six games.
Check out my +295 Timberwolves vs. Warriors SGP, featuring Curry and Anthony Edwards.
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Timberwolves vs. Warriors SGP
Parlay: Warriors +7.5 | Curry 4+ threes | Edwards 6+ rebounds (+295)
Warriors +7.5 (-400): Golden State did a pretty solid job without Curry, beating the Cleveland Cavaliers on the road and suffering a one-point loss to the Philadelphia 76ers.
It did lose by 12 to the Oklahoma City Thunder — but that happens to everyone.
- The Dubs are 9-7 with Curry playing, and have covered a +7.5 spread 75% of the time.
- That includes a 5-2 record at home, with the two losses coming by a combined eight points.
Minnesota's 15-9 record might look good on paper, but I have to cast some serious doubt on the teams it has beaten.
The T-Wolves only have two wins against teams currently in playoff contention, and one of those was against the Victor Wembanyama-less San Antonio Spurs.
Outside of that, they've beaten the Pelicans (twice), Jazz (twice), Kings (twice), Clippers, Wizards, Hornets, Nets, Mavericks, Pacers and Trail Blazers.
It's basically a who's who of basement dwellers.
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The Warriors have won their last three against the T-Wolves, and should easily cover this alternate spread tonight.
NBA SGP legs
Curry 4+ threes (-265): The only sign of Curry's age in recent years has been his propensity to pop up on the injury report.
But when he's healthy, look out.
- Curry is averaging 27.9 PPG this year.
- He's making 4.7 threes on 12.0 attempts (39.1%).
- Overall, he's 11-5 against this milestone.
I'll tease his standard 4.5 line down a touch for some safety, though I like his odds of clearing that, too.
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The Timberwolves have the 11th-best perimeter defence in the NBA, but Curry has proven to be matchup-proof over the last decade.
Edwards 6+ rebounds (+106): Edwards (questionable, foot) has the ability to smash this line if he's in the lineup.
The high-flying shooting guard can contest any rebound if he wants to, and won't have much competition on Golden State's side of the floor.
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The Warriors deploy a notoriously undersized lineup, and are missing their starting centre, Draymond Green, tonight.
The fact that 35-year-old, 6-foot-6 Green is the team's No. 5 should speak volumes in itself.
Edwards has cleared this line in consecutive games and in four of his last seven against the Warriors. In that span, he's never finished with fewer than four rebounds.
Timberwolves vs. Warriors SGP made at 11:05 a.m. ET on Dec. 12, 2025.
