Sunday's NBA slate is wrapped up in Sacramento when the Kings host the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The pregame narrative: Sacramento (3-6) is off to a slow start but has largely played teams close. The Kings are 5.5-point home underdogs tonight against a T-Wolves team which is 2-3 ATS on the road.
Check out my Timberwolves vs. Kings SGP predictions for Nov. 9, featuring Anthony Edwards and DeMar DeRozan.
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Timberwolves vs. Kings SGP
Parlay: Kings +7.5 | Edwards 3+ threes | DeRozan over 21.5 points (+295)
Kings +7.5 (-162): Sacramento is expected to have a down year, and its 3-6 record indicates just that.
But the Kings are a scrappy group with a ton of veteran talent (DeRozan, Zach LaVine, Domantas Sabonis), who should seldom go down without a fight.
They are 7-2 ATS against this number, beating the Milwaukee Bucks and Golden State Warriors outright while losing by six on the road to the Oklahoma City Thunder.
OKC did rout Sacramento by 31 after that, which will happen against the champs.
Minnesota hasn't hit its stride just yet, with a mediocre 5-4 record through nine games. The T-Wolves' five wins are against teams with a combined 13-30 record.
These teams split the season series 2-2 last year, with Sacramento covering this number in all four games.
NBA SGP legs
Edwards 3+ threes (-265): Edwards was nearly automatic at this number last season, averaging 4.1 makes on 10.3 attempts per game (39.5%).
Expect more of the same this season.
The high-flying shooting guard is coming off a monster game against the Utah Jazz on Friday, draining 7-of-12 threes in just 27 minutes of playing time.
-> Bet on Anthony Edwards props at NorthStar Bets
Edwards is 4-1 against this line so far, but is really spotless. The only outlier was a game where he exited after three minutes due to injury.
It doesn't really matter for a player like Edwards, but it's worth noting that Sacramento allows the 10th-most 3s per game to opposing SGs, per Fantasy Pros.
DeRozan over 21.5 points (-105): DeRozan can still fill the basket in Year 17 — and he hasn't had to re-invent the wheel.
- The veteran forward has ranked in the 97th percentile or greater in mid-range shot frequency in each of the last 14 seasons, per Cleaning the Glass.
- He is taking 71% of his shots in the mid-range this year (100th percentile).
- DeRozan is averaging 20.1 PPG. If the season were to end today, it would be his 13th straight season averaging above 20.0 PPG.
Minnesota is a strong defensive team, but one area it struggles to defend is the mid-range. The T-Wolves are allowing opponents to shoot 46.8% from that area of the court, which ranks 26th out of 30 teams.
This seems like a great spot for DeRozan to do damage.
Timberwolves vs. Kings SGP made at 10:40 a.m. ET 11/09/2025.
