There's a compelling, all-Texas tussle on Wednesday night in Houston, where the Rockets host the San Antonio Spurs.
The pregame narrative: Houston and San Antonio have split their season series thus far, with both teams winning on home court. The Rockets are slight favourites tonight, and I'm backing them on the moneyline in this +335 same-game parlay.
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Check out my Spurs vs. Rockets SGP predictions for Jan. 28, featuring prop bets on Victor Wembanyama and Alperen Sengun.
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Spurs vs. Rockets SGP
Parlay: Rockets ML | Wembanyama under 23.5 points | Sengun 15+ rebounds/assists (+335)
Rockets moneyline (-143): Less than three weeks ago, the Rockets had one of the worst NBA losses of the season. As 14.5-point favourites in Sacramento, with no load management absences, they lost by 13.
I'm not going to try to excuse that away, but I do want to credit Houston for what it's accomplished more recently.
The Rockets are 5-1 in their past six games, with wins (SU and ATS) against the Spurs, Timberwolves and Pistons in that span.
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Houston's 111-106 win over San Antonio came at home, and I'm happy to back the Rockets at Toyota Center again tonight. The Rockets are 16-3 at home with a +8.6 net rating (fourth in the NBA).
The Spurs just lost by nine as 11.5-point favourites in New Orleans, and this will be a tough venue to bounce back in.
NBA SGP legs
Wembanyama under 23.5 points (-121): Wembanyama is shooting a lot more 3s than he was at the start of the season, which lessens my desire to fade him.
But I have faith in the Rockets' perimeter defence, which has kept the clamps on Wemby and most other shooters this season.
- Wembanyama is 0-for-9 from 3-point range across two matchups vs. the Rockets this year.
- Houston allows the fifth-fewest made 3s on the fourth-lowest opponent 3PT%.
-> Fade Wembanyama vs. the Rockets
Wemby has played nine career games against the Rockets now, and the results for the superstar are rough: 17.0 PPG, 42.0 FG%, 18.4 3PT%. This under is 8-1.
In his past 10 games overall, this under is 6-4. The tough defensive matchup tonight really drives home the point that Wemby is worth fading.
Sengun 15+ rebounds/assists (-148): With a 7-foot-4 giant roving the court for the Spurs, it might seem like Sengun would struggle to hit this mark. But that hasn't been the case.
Sengun cashed this milestone prop in both matchups vs. San Antonio this season. That includes posting 13 rebounds and nine assists against the Spurs just last week.
-> Full Spurs vs. Rockets prop betting markets
The Turkish centre is 23-14 vs. this milestone on the season, averaging 9.0 rebounds and 6.4 assists.
San Antonio is actually a plus matchup for this prop, given that the team allows the most assists per game to opposing centres, according to Fantasy Pros.
Spurs vs. Rockets predictions made at 11:50 a.m. on Jan. 28, 2026.
