The Phoenix Suns welcome the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday night for an intra-conference matchup.
The pregame narrative: Dallas has lost seven straight games and seems destined for the draft lottery once again after trading Anthony Davis at the deadline. Phoenix is a stellar 17-9 at home and is laying 8.5 points in the desert.
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Check out my Mavericks vs. Suns SGP predictions for Feb. 10, featuring Mark Williams and Cooper Flagg.
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Mavericks vs. Suns SGP
Parlay: Suns -4.5 | Williams double-double | Flagg 1+ threes (+370)
Suns -4.5 (-215): I'll happily fade the Mavericks right now.
Dallas has looked rudderless in recent weeks and is miserable on the road. The Mavs are 5-16 SU and 7-14 ATS away from American Airlines Centre, losing those games by an average of 5.6 points.
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Phoenix has lost two straight, but it was by a combined 10 points against two playoff-calibre teams (Warriors, 76ers).
Devin Booker was sidelined against Golden State and had an uncharacteristically poor shooting night on Saturday vs. Philadelphia (in his return from a two-week injury absence).
The superstar guard did play 32 minutes, though, indicating he's ready to contribute at a high level.
Phoenix's larger body of work at home is stellar, and the Suns should coast to a win if Booker plays to his ability.
NBA SGP legs
Williams double-double (+155): This is a dream matchup for Williams, who faces a Mavericks team allowing the third-most points and sixth-most rebounds per game to opposing centres.
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Dallas has no seven-footers in its active lineup with Davis out of the door and Derick Lively II out for the season. That gives Williams, who stands at 7-foot-1 and weighs 250 pounds, a big size advantage.
Williams has recorded three straight double-doubles and has averaged north of 10.0 PPG in every month this season.
His rebounding average is down from last year, but I'm hoping he can stay hot against the undersized Mavs.
Flagg 1+ threes (-500): Phoenix's perimeter defence is tough to crack. The squad allows the fourth-fewest 3s per game (12.3) at the fourth-lowest rate (34.7%).
But I'm just asking for one triple out of the Rookie of the Year frontrunner. And the addition of this heavily-juiced prop bumps our SGP from +250 to +370 — well worth it, in my opinion.
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Flagg is shooting 47.6% from deep in his last five games, canning multiple triples four times.
He has reached this milestone in eight straight and 11 of his past 13.
Mavericks vs. Suns SGP made at 3:50 p.m. on Feb. 10, 2026.
