The Toronto Maple Leafs and Boston Bruins quickly renew their rivalry on Tuesday night.
The pregame narrative: The Leafs lost to the Bruins on Saturday and have now dropped back-to-back games heading into TD Garden. There was a lot of offence in that game, and I expect more of the same in the rematch.
Check out my Maple Leafs vs. Bruins predictions for the game on Nov. 11, featuring picks on John Tavares and Morgan Geekie.
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Maple Leafs vs. Bruins predictions
Best Bet: Tavares over 2.5 shots on goal (-134)
Quick disclaimer, neither of my picks for this game have the most appealing odds, but if you can stomach the price, there is some strong value.
Let's start with Tavares. He's been active in the offensive zone, sitting second on the Leafs with 21 points.
But this pick is focused on shots, and he's been taking lots of those.
- Tavares is second on the Leafs with 47 shots, behind Auston Matthews, of course.
- But Matthews gets a 3.5-shot projection (priced at -150 to the over). Tavares, meanwhile, is 9-1 against a 2.5-shot total over his last 10 games.
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This is also a good matchup. Boston allows the ninth-most shots per game (29.9).
As a team, the Leafs had 33 shots on goal on Saturday night. Tuesday's game should be just as energetic with tons of chances on both sides.
Key stat: Tavares had four shots vs. Boston on Saturday.
Best NHL prop picks
Geekie to score 1+ points (-141): The Leafs' defence is an auto-fade this point, and Geekie is on a great run.
The first-line winger has 11 points in the last 10 games and is 9-1 against this wager during that time.
He plays with one of the best players in the NHL, David Pastrnak, which certainly helps.
Geekie had a goal and an assist on Saturday against Toronto.
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The Leafs are now allowing the second-most goals per game (3.75) on the fifth-most shots (30.8).
It isn't bad luck that's holding Toronto back — it's simply poor defensive play.
And Geekie is a big winger who's always in dangerous areas. He's tied for fourth in the NHL with 11 goals.
Maple Leafs vs. Bruins predictions made at 10:20 a.m. ET 11/11/2025.
