It’s an epic end to the ATP season with Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner meeting for the sixth time this year.
The pregame narrative: Tennis’ top rivalry renews for the final time of 2025 in the ATP Finals. Alcaraz and Sinner cruised by their respective semifinal opponents and into Sunday’s contest. The winner of this matchup claims upwards of $5 million in prize money.
Check out my Alcaraz vs. Sinner ATP Finals best bet for Sunday, Nov. 16.
BET FINDER: Search & Bet!
-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on tennis
ATP Finals odds
Alcaraz vs. Sinner best bet
Best Bet: Alcaraz to win (+145)
Any chance I get to back Alcaraz at plus-money odds, I’ll gladly take it.
The same applies to Sinner, but it is the Spaniard who comes with an appealing price in this contest.
Both have looked sensational at the ATP Finals, although Sinner has been slightly sharper. The Italian has won each match in straight sets, while Alcaraz did drop a set to Fritz in the group stage.
-> Bet on Alcaraz vs. Sinner at Northstar Bets today!
But if you’re looking for a reason to back Alcaraz, look no further than the head-to-head history.
The Spaniard has largely dominated this rivalry.
Alcaraz owns a commanding 11-5 record over Sinner.
The results have been even more tilted in Alcaraz’s favour lately. He has won seven of the last eight matchups.
Half of those contests occurred on the hard courts, and Alcaraz won all four of those.
Sinner’s lone win over Alcaraz came in this year’s Wimbledon final, where the former downed the latter in four sets.
The Italian crowd at Inalpi Arena will undoubtedly have Sinner’s back, but a hostile environment hasn’t stopped Alcaraz before.
He beat Sinner in straight sets at this year’s Italian Open.
Anything can happen in a match between the best tennis players in the world. I’ll happily back the one who enters as a noticeable underdog.
Key stat: Alcaraz is 7-2 all-time on the hard courts against Sinner.
Alcaraz vs. Sinner best bet made at 8:11 a.m. on 11/16/2025.
