The Super Bowl is approaching, and it's not too early for bettors to put down some action.
Super Bowl 60 narrative: The Seattle Seahawks are 4.5-point favourites over the New England Patriots as of Thursday morning. Both teams led their respective conferences in ATS percentage and point differential, setting up what should be a tight game at Levi's Stadium.
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Check out our Patriots vs. Seahawks Super Bowl 60 best bets on Feb. 8, 2026, featuring a prop pick on Seattle running back George Holani.
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Super Bowl 60 best bets
Super Bowl 60 best bets were written by NorthStar Bets writers Avery Perri and Jordan Horrobin.
Seahawks -4.5 (-110): Betting against the Patriots in the Super Bowl just feels sketchy.
Images of Tom Brady marching down the field are seared into my brain. So, too, is Malcolm Butler's championship-winning interception against Seattle years ago.
But if you take a step back and imagine these teams in different uniforms, backing the favourite is a no-brainer.
- Seattle has the best ATS record (14-6-0) in the NFL. It is 12-4-0 ATS as a favourite, winning those games by an average of 13.9 points.
- The Seahawks led the league in point differential (+191) and have scored 72 points in two playoff matchups.
- Seattle had the fourth-hardest strength of schedule, and New England had the easiest strength of schedule, per Team Rankings.
People will say the SoS metric has been beaten to death. I think it highlights how impressive Seattle's season was, more than anything else. The Seahawks routinely demolished the best of the best.
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And I'm not overly-impressed by New England's playoff run.
The Patriots' defence has been lights out, but look at who they faced: Justin Herbert without an offensive line, an inconsistent C.J. Stroud, and Jarrett Stidham, a career backup who hadn't attempted a pass since 2023.
Drake Maye outlasted that trio but looked shaky at best.
- 55.8 completion percentage
- 5.0 sacks per game
- 84.0 quarterback rating
That quarterback rating would have ranked 37th in the regular season, right behind Geno Smith. Seattle's elite defence should keep giving him trouble.
So if you're worried about betting against New England, don't be. These Pats aren't those Pats.
I expect the Seahawks to avenge their Super Bowl XLIX loss in style.
-Perri
Seahawks vs. Patriots NFL prop predictions
Holani over 9.5 receiving yards (-121): Holani appeared out of nowhere in the Seahawks’ time of need, springing from injured reserve to replace the injured Zach Charbonnet for the NFC championship game.
After seven weeks on the shelf, it was anyone’s guess what Holani’s workload would be against the Rams. But the results seem telling.
The second-year, undrafted tailback received seven of Seattle’s 30 RB opportunities (three carries, four targets). He caught three passes for 27 yards, adding four yards as a runner.
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Kenneth Walker will see the lion’s share of Seattle’s backfield work, but he can’t do it all himself. His 23 touches in the NFC title game were the high-water mark of his season, as was his 63% snap share.
There will be some scraps for Holani, and they should primarily come in passing situations. Walker is known as a subpar pass-blocker, which helps explain why Holani was on the field for a lot of third downs — leading to a 34% snap share.
I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see Holani garner four or so targets again, and if he does, this should be a breeze.
-Horrobin
Super Bowl defensive prop pick
DeMarcus Lawrence to record a sack (+132): New England's pass protection was iffy all season and has gotten exposed in the playoffs.
- The Patriots allowed pressure on 21.5% of passing plays during the regular season, per Pro Football Reference. That ranked 16th in the NFL.
- As a result, Maye took the ninth-most sacks in the NFL (47).
And remember, that was against the easiest strength of schedule.
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Maye has been running for his life this postseason, taking 15 sacks in three games against a trio of elite defences (Chargers, Texans, Broncos).
Defensively-minded Mike Macdonald will have two weeks to scheme pressure against Maye using that game tape, and should deliver.
Lawrence, the veteran EDGE, has a sack in each playoff game and ranked 15th in pass rush win rate this year (14%), per ESPN.
While Lawrence is my top pick to record a sack, I like the value on Leonard Williams (+133) and Byron Murphy II (+175) as well.
-Perri
