The Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots battle for NFL supremacy at Super Bowl LX, and I've built a same-game parlay for the showdown.
The pregame narrative: Seattle is a 4.5-point favourite heading into the Big Game after posting a league-best point differential and lighting up the scoreboard in the playoffs. The Seahawks have gone 15-1 when favoured this year, and are in a strong position to finish the job.
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Check out my 2026 Super Bowl predictions, featuring SGP picks on Kenneth Walker and Drake Maye in a +295 ticket.
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Super Bowl predictions 2026
SGP: Seahawks +3.5 | Walker anytime TD | Maye over 35.5 rushing yards (+295)
Seahawks +3.5 (-375): I expect Seattle to win and cover on Super Bowl Sunday. But for this SGP, I'll tease the favourites by a touchdown to 3.5-point dogs.
Mike Macdonald's squad has covered this number in all but one game this season, a four-point loss in Week 1 to the San Francisco 49ers.
That was Sam Darnold's Seahawks debut, and he's gotten better and better as the season's gone on.
Across a pair of playoff games, the journeyman QB has completed 69.8% of passes for four touchdowns, no interceptions, and a 122.4 passer rating.
It's a small sample, but it exceeds Maye's NFL-best 113.1 passer rating in the regular season.
And in the playoffs, Maye has pulled the inverse.
- 55.8% completion rate
- 15 sacks taken
- 84.0 passer rating
Maye did have to battle three great defences (Chargers, Texans, Broncos), but the Seahawks are also elite on that side of the ball.
Seattle led the league in RBDSM.com's defensive EPA per play this year.
As mentioned, the Seahawks are 15-1 as a favourite this year. They posted a league-best +13.9 average margin of victory in those games, and I can't picture them losing by more than a field goal.
Seahawks vs. Patriots SGP prediction
Walker anytime TD (-190): Walker was the lead back for Seattle all season, but Zach Charbonnet was the goal-line assassin (or vulture, if you had Walker on your fantasy team).
Walker had five rushing touchdowns, and Charbonnet put up 12.
But Walker has gone full bell-cow in the playoffs after Charbonnet suffered a season-ending injury. The fifth year back has turned 45 touches into 256 all-purpose yards and four touchdowns.
-> Go to full Seahawks vs. Patriots player prop markets
Sophomore RB George Holani was activated from the IR ahead of the NFC Championship game. But he's more of a pass-catching back, as NorthStar Bets' Jordan Horrobin alluded to in our Super Bowl 60 best bets.
Near the goal line, I fully expect Walker to be the difference maker.
Drake Maye same-game parlay pick
Maye over 35.5 rushing yards (-117): Seattle's defence brings a ton of pressure despite ranking inside the bottom 10 in blitz rate.
- 6th in pressure rate (26.1%)
- 7th in pass rush win rate (41%)
That's a huge luxury for Macdonald's defence. Especially against a Patriots offence which has allowed five sacks in each playoff game.
-> Bet on Drake Maye in the Super Bowl
Luckily for New England, Maye has serious legs and can avoid pressure.
He scrambled for 450 yards in the regular season and had 65-plus rushing yards against Los Angeles and Denver in the playoffs.
Seattle will likely have Maye under duress all game long, which should force the young QB to tuck and run often. I like his chances of smashing this total.
Super Bowl 2026 predictions made at 4 p.m. ET on Jan. 30, 2026.
