What do Sam Darnold, Mack Hollins and AJ Barner all have in common? They've got my attention on the Super Bowl 60 prop markets.
Super Bowl prop bets narrative: Darnold, the Seattle Seahawks' quarterback, has never been accused of being a running QB, but the plus-money price on his rush attempts prop is well worth a look. My best bet features Hollins, who could be crucial for the New England Patriots as a deep threat.
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Check out my top Super Bowl prop predictions for Patriots vs. Seahawks on Sunday, Feb. 8, 2026.
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Super Bowl 60 prop picks
Best bet: Hollins longest reception — Over 16.5 yards (-114)
The Seahawks' defence is great against the pass, but it's the best unit in the league against the run.
New England will need to take some shots in this game, and Hollins has arguably the best chance at connecting.
Hollins' involvement has been all over the map for the Patriots this year, but that's OK. When the Pats look his way, they're usually going deep.
- The journeyman wideout has a compelling combination of deep targets and sure-handed reliability.
- According to RotoWire, he ranks in the 76th percentile in average depth of target (12.8 yards), the 80th percentile in catch rate (70.8%) and the 77th percentile in drop rate (1.5%).
- Plenty of the credit belongs to his quarterback, Drake Maye, who led the NFL in completion percentage, yards per attempt and air yards per attempt this season.
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After a slow start with his new team, Hollins was cooking from Weeks 10-16. He averaged 7.0 targets and 55.5 yards per game.
But an abdominal injury sidelined him for the ensuing four games before he made a triumphant return in the AFC championship. In that game, he caught both of his targets for 51 yards, producing two of the Patriots' very limited chunk plays.
Hollins now has seven catches of 20-plus yards in his past seven games. I really like his chances of reeling in another big one in the Super Bowl.
Key stat: Hollins is 8-2 vs. this prop in his past 10 games.
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Sam Darnold Super Bowl prop pick
Darnold over 2.5 rush attempts (+112): There's one mobile quarterback in this game, and it ain't Darnold. But I'm not asking him to tear up the field.
Remember, kneel-downs count. So if Seattle has the opportunity to end the first half quietly and/or deploy victory formation in the fourth quarter, Darnold could cash this bet without ever trying to work upfield.
Darnold had just 35 rush attempts for 95 yards this season, which equates to 2.1 attempts per game. Not great, but not terrible.
Here's what caught my eye: He's 6-1 vs. this prop in his past seven games, with 22 total rush attempts in that span.
He'll very likely need at least one kneel-down to have a shot at cashing, so it's a good thing the Seahawks (-4.5) are the ones expected to win.
Seahawks vs. Patriots prop bet
Barner over 24.5 yards (-122): Barner's offensive production has been underwhelming lately, and he's failed to cash this bet in three straight games. His baseline of opportunities is still drawing me in, though.
Let's zoom out a bit and look at what Barner has done in his past 10 games:
- 4.5 targets/game
- 3.3 catches/game
- 29.6 yards/game
- 3+ targets in 9 of 10
- 25+ yards in 6 of 10
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Elijah Arroyo is the other pass-catching tight end in Seattle, but the rookie sat out due to a coach's decision in the NFC championship.
Arroyo's status will be worth monitoring ahead of the Super Bowl, but either way, Barner will be the primary offensive weapon in the TE group.
New England allowed the 11th-most receiving yards to tight ends during the regular season (57.1/game). Two of three opposing TEs have cashed this bet against them in the playoffs.
Super Bowl 60 prop picks made at 2:33 p.m. ET on Jan. 30, 2026.
