The Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers clash on Sunday Night Football to decide the winner of the AFC North.
The pregame narrative: Week 18 is headlined by a 'win and in' matchup between division rivals. The Ravens are sitting as 4-point favourites, and superstar running back Derrick Henry should have another big performance to help his team make the playoffs.
Check out my Ravens vs. Steelers TD picks for Jan. 4, featuring Pat Freiermuth.
BET FINDER: Search & Bet!
-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL
Ravens vs. Steelers TD picks
Best Bet: Henry anytime TD (-132)
Many football fans would say Henry had a down year, but he's quietly been among the best running backs in the NFL down the stretch.
Take a look at his stats from the past four games:
- 90 carries
- 538 yards
- 6 TDs
Four of those scores came in Week 17, but either way, it's been a dominant run for Henry.
On the season, he now has 1,469 yards (5.1 yards per carry) and 16 TDs. Not quite a down year after all.
-> Bet on Derrick Henry to find the end zone on Sunday Night Football
When the Ravens played the Steelers in Week 14, Henry didn't score, but he did record 94 yards on 25 carries.
Inside the red zone, Henry is still a battering ram. He has 63 carries inside the 20-yard line, equating to 10 TDs.
Coming off 200+ yards and four TDs in Week 17, Henry should continue to be leaned on in this win-or-go-home game, especially near the goal line.
Key stat: Henry is 9-7 against this wager this season.
SNF over/under prediction
Freiermuth anytime TD (+320): D.K. Metcalf is serving the final game of his suspension, so Aaron Rodgers will need to look elsewhere in the passing game.
That brings me to Freiermuth. He fell out of favour in Pittsburgh this season, but this is a chance for the big tight end to make an impact when it matters most.
In last week's loss to the Cleveland Browns, he led the team with 63 receiving yards. It was a bad game script for all Steelers' pass catchers as Rodgers threw for 168 yards and the team scored a measly six points.
-> Don't miss out — Bet on Sunday Night Football!
This Sunday, Pittsburgh gets to play a much weaker defence.
- The Browns allow the second-fewest passing yards per game (163.8)
- The Ravens allow the fourth-most passing yards per game (245.2).
That is an area the Steelers will need to exploit to win this matchup. And Freiermuth has what it takes to step up as a top option. He has 11 touchdowns since the start of last season.
Ravens vs. Steelers TD picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET Jan. 4, 2026.
