Mikal Bridges is the subject of my top NBA prop bet on Monday night, as he looks to lead the shorthanded New York Knicks from 3-point range.
Today's NBA props narrative: Bridges is off to a great start beyond the arc and should be encouraged to keep firing in Miami. Elsewhere, Derik Queen looks worthy of a fade and Anthony Edwards has a nice opportunity to go off at home.
Check out my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 17.
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NBA prop picks Nov. 17
Best bet: Bridges over 2.5 threes (-132)
Neither Jalen Brunson nor OG Anunoby will play for the Knicks tonight. That means a lot of shot opportunities should be up for grabs — especially from deep.
- Brunson and Anunoby rank first and second among Knicks players in attempted 3s, averaging a combined 14.2 attempts per game.
- Bridges (6.0 3PA) is right behind them, meaning he should be the Knicks' top 3-point option tonight.
-> Wager on tonight's eight-game NBA slate
You could argue that Bridges should be taking more 3s no matter what right now, given how well he's faring from the outside.
The eighth-year wing is shooting 41.7%, which is on track to be the second-best 3PT% of his career.
Without Brunson or Anunoby on the floor, I feel confident that Bridges will attempt more than six 3s tonight. Facing the Miami Heat should be a plus to his volume, too.
The Heat allow the most 3-point attempts in the NBA (45.9/game). Three nights ago, Bridges was 3-for-12 from deep in this exact matchup.
Key stat: Bridges is 7-5 vs. this 3s prop this season, cashing the over in four of his past five.
Best NBA picks
Edwards over 33.5 points/rebounds (-122): The Dallas Mavericks have played two consecutive overtime games and are on the road for a back-to-back tonight in Minnesota. I'm hoping — and expecting — Edwards to take advantage against a gassed team.
Edwards is 1-for-15 from 3-point range in his past two games, but he still cashed this bet both times. He's a steady producer on the glass, and he knows how to score from anywhere.
-> Bet on Edwards in Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
In eight games with 25+ minutes played this year, Edwards is 6-2 vs. this line. He's averaging 35.8 points/rebounds in his past five games against Dallas.
This season, the Mavericks have allowed the third-most rebounds per game.
NBA player prop predictions
Queen over 16.5 points/assists (-121): Just 13 games into his NBA career, Queen has already been adorned with the nickname, "Baby Jokic" on Basketball Reference. That's a ridiculously lofty title to hand him this soon.
Queen is a big man with an uncharacteristically smooth passing touch, sure. But I'm going to need to see him do more than light up the Trail Blazers before using his and Jokic's names in the same sentence.
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Monday's matchup is as tough as it gets, with Queen and the Pelicans hosting the defending champion Oklahoma City Thunder.
- OKC allows the fewest points and third-fewest assists per game. The team also ranks No. 1 in defensive rating.
- Against centres, OKC has allowed the third-fewest points and the fewest assists per game, according to Fantasy Pros.
Queen has a regular rotation role now, playing 24+ minutes in six straight games. But he has gone under this points/assists total in four of those six games.
NBA prop picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on Nov. 17, 2025.
