With their pristine record on the line, the No. 1 Arizona Wildcats visit the No. 11 Kansas Jayhawks on Monday night in a massive Big 12 showdown.
The pregame narrative: Arizona (23-0) has passed every test so far, but now it'll face a Kansas team that's just starting to heat up. The Wildcats are slight road favourites in a game that has the makings of a defensive struggle.
Check out my college basketball same-game parlay Arizona vs. Kansas picks, featuring prop bets on Darryn Peterson and Koa Peat.
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Arizona vs. Kansas picks
SGP: Under 156.5 points | Peterson over 2.5 threes | Peat under 12.5 points (+425)
Under 156.5 points (-150): The Wildcats are comfortable in track meets and rock fights, and I think they'll stumble into the latter tonight.
Simply put, this game features two of the best defences in NCAA Division I. Arizona and Kansas rank second and seventh, respectively, in adjusted defensive efficiency at KenPom.com.
They're also both in the top 30 in scoring defence, allowing fewer than 68.0 PPG apiece.
Typically, Arizona likes to play quickly — evidenced by their 25th-ranked adjusted tempo — but against an up-to-the-task Kansas defence, I think a more meticulous approach will be required.
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Unders are 6-1 in Kansas' past seven games and 16-7 on the season. As for Arizona, unders are 5-1 in the team's past six games.
KenPom and BartTorkvik.com are both projecting a 147-point total for tonight.
College basketball prop pick
Peterson over 2.5 threes (-143): Though I don't expect an offensive explosion tonight, I do like this price for Peterson to connect for a trio of 3s.
Arizona is among the best at clogging things up on the interior. The team is holding its opponents to a 43.1 2PT%, which is the third-lowest rate in the country.
And the Wildcats allow a fair amount of 3-point attempts (37.1% of opposing shot attempts, which is 103rd-most out of 365 schools). So Peterson should be encouraged to get some deep shots up.
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The freshman guard is a shoo-in to be a top-five NBA draft choice this summer, and he could easily go No. 1 overall. His 41.9% shooting from deep is a compelling part of his profile.
Peterson is 9-4 vs. this prop and is averaging 2.8 made 3s per game.
Wildcats/Jayhawks prop prediction
Peat under 12.5 points (-106): Peat is another freshman with NBA lottery hopes this year. Just don't expect to see much of this game on his highlight reel.
The 6-foot-8 scorer will have the displeasure of dealing with two trees in Kansas' frontcourt: Bryson Tiller (6-foot-11) and Flory Bidunga (6-foot-10).
Led by that tandem, Kansas is swatting 6.1 shots per game — second-most in D-I. And the Jayhawks rank sixth in opponent 2PT% (44.8).
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Peat has only attempted 17 threes in 23 games this season. He makes hay in the paint, but I don't see that being a winning strategy in this matchup.
In his past six games, Peat has gone under 12.5 points four times.
Arizona vs. Kansas picks made at 2:45 p.m. on Feb. 9, 2026.
