Two of Monday's three NBA prop picks come from the Utah Jazz vs. Miami Heat matchup, which should be fast-paced and high-scoring.
Tonight's NBA props narrative: Utah and Miami rank first and second in possessions per game. That helps explain tonight's juicy over/under (240 points). I think Bam Adebayo and Isaiah Collier can both take advantage.
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Check out these NBA prop picks for Feb. 9, including a prediction on the Minnesota Timberwolves point guard Donte DiVincenzo.
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NBA prop picks Feb. 9
Best bet: DiVincenzo under 12.5 points (-106)
If the Minnesota Timberwolves had been able to swing a Giannis Antetokounmpo trade, there's a good chance DiVincenzo would be on the Bucks right now.
Instead, he's still the starting point guard on a team that's just a few games out of a top-three spot in the loaded Western Conference. The NBA is full of fine lines.
I still don't like how things are trending for DiVincenzo, though, after Minnesota added Ayo Dosunmu at the deadline. Dosunmu, a talented point guard who came over from the Bulls, should take a bite out of DiVincenzo's minutes.
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Last night marked Dosunmu's debut for the T-wolves. Off the bench, he scored 11 points in 25 minutes, including 3-for-7 shooting from deep.
DiVincenzo, meanwhile, fouled out in 24 minutes. He was 0-for-3 from the floor.
It's far too early to tell if the guards will typically see an even workload, or if that was largely a product of DiVincenzo's foul troubles.
But Dosunmu has averaged 26-plus minutes in each of his five NBA seasons, so he's accustomed to a solid workload.
DiVincenzo only scored six points (2-for-8 shooting) when he last faced the Atlanta Hawks on New Year's Eve.
He's averaging 12.5 points per game this season, and the Dosunmu factor has me on the under.
Key stat: This under is 14-8 in DiVincenzo's past 22 games.
Best NBA picks
Adebayo over 20.5 points (-127): This line is notably north of what Adebayo typically scores (18.2 PPG). But I'm drawn in by the matchup.
Utah allows the most points in the NBA, as well as the fifth-most points to opposing centres, according to Fantasy Pros.
Adebayo dropped 26 points on Utah when he faced the team on the road last month.
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Sure, the Jazz should have better rim protection now with Jaren Jackson Jr., but Adebayo takes 45% of his shots from the midrange (91st percentile among bigs, according to Cleaning The Glass).
In his past 15 games, Adebayo is 10-5 vs. this prop and is averaging 21.7 PPG.
NBA player prop predictions
Collier 25+ points/assists (-141): Collier is getting massive minutes for the Jazz right now. He's played the full 48 twice already this month.
Is this a creative element to Utah's tank, or do they just want to see what Collier does with a lot more on his plate? I'm not sure, but if it continues, this line will have to start going up.
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The second-year guard out of USC is 4-0 vs. this prop in February. He has at least 30 points/assists in three of those games.
Last month, in 28 minutes against the Heat, Collier racked up 16 points and nine assists to also cash this bet.
NBA prop picks made at 10:10 a.m. ET on Feb. 9, 2026.
