With a chance to keep their playoff hopes alive, the Dallas Cowboys host the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday Night Football.
The pregame narrative: With an over/under of 48 points, this SNF matchup has the fourth-highest projected total of the week. That has plenty to do with the Cowboys' No. 3-ranked scoring offence. I'm backing Javonte Williams to score for the home team as my top TD pick.
Check out my Vikings vs. Cowboys TD picks for Sunday Night Football on Dec. 14, featuring Jordan Addison.
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Vikings vs. Cowboys TD picks
Best bet: Williams to score (-152)
Williams, who was released by the Denver Broncos in the spring and immediately scooped by the Cowboys, has had an excellent debut season for Dallas.
He's already a 1,000-yard rusher through 13 games, setting career-highs in:
- TDs (11)
- Rushing success rate (54.9%)
- Yards per rush (4.8)
- Rush attempts per game (16.5)
-> Bet on Williams to score on Sunday Night Football
Dallas has trimmed down Williams' receiving work to career-low levels, but that's not necessarily a bad thing. After all, he's feasting as a runner.
And it's clear the Cowboys trust him near the end zone, which certainly matters for this pick.
In 12 of 13 games this year, Williams has at least one touch (i.e., a carry or a reception) inside the five-yard line. Overall, he has 20 touches inside the five (No. 2 in the NFL behind Derrick Henry).
Last week in Detroit, Williams had two red zone targets to go with two carries inside the five-yard line. He cashed in with a one-yard TD run.
Dating back to Week 4, Williams has at least four carries and/or targets in the red zone in 10 straight matchups. That's some serious volume.
Key stat: Williams is 8-5 vs. this prop and has a touchdown in back-to-back games.
Sunday Night Football anytime TD prediction
Addison to score (+180): Though I'm not a fan of what J.J. McCarthy has been up to at the helm of the Vikings' offence, I can't ignore how brutal the Cowboys' pass defence has been.
- Dallas has allowed the most yards (2,224) and touchdowns (22) to opposing receivers this season.
- Opposing quarterbacks have a 103.5 passer rating vs. Dallas, according to RotoWire, which is the highest in the NFL.
-> See full Vikings vs. Cowboys SNF betting markets
This is the ideal matchup for a talented wideout, and Addison fits the bill.
Despite missing three games at the start of the year, Addison still leads Vikings receivers in red zone targets (12). And he's been targeted inside the 10-yard line in back-to-back weeks.
Combining this prop price, the matchup and Addison's red zone usage, I think he's absolutely worth taking a flier on.
Vikings vs. Cowboys TD picks made at 1:10 p.m. ET on Dec. 14, 2025.
