World No. 2 Jannik Sinner is back in action at the ATP Finals on Wednesday.
The pregame narrative: Sinner faces Alexander Zverev and looks to improve to 2-0 after disposing of Felix Auger-Aliassime in his first match. Earlier in the day, the Canadian will look to get that loss back against Ben Shelton.
Check out my top ATP Finals tennis predictions for Nov. 12 below.
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ATP Finals tennis predictions Nov. 12
Best bet: Sinner under 12.5 games won (-107)
This is my way of backing Sinner to win in straight sets while avoiding a hefty -225 price tag.
Of course, this pick requires more from the Italian, but he should be up to the task against Zverev.
The No. 3-ranked player is amazing, but indoor hard courts are his worst playing surface, and Sinner will exploit any weakness.
- Zverev is 7-4 on the surface this season and 108-53 all-time.
- Sinner is a perfect 11-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025 and 111-25 in his career.
When these two played on this same court type in Paris on Nov. 2, Sinner easily won the matchup in straight sets. He only dropped one game (6-1, 6-0).
That level of dominance gives me little hope for Zverev in the rematch.
He was a tough out for Sinner earlier in his career, but there's been a clear separation between the two in recent meetings.
Key stat: Sinner is 4-0 against Zverev over the past two seasons.
Shelton vs. Auger-Aliassime tennis pick
Auger-Aliassime to win (+163): I love the underdog value on the Canadian in this match.
He appeared to injure his calf in his match with Sinner, but later claimed it was nothing serious and only affected him in the short term.
If that's true, Auger-Aliassime is live to win this match.
-> Bet on Canadian Felix Auger-Aliassime
Auger-Aliassime is 22-6 in his last 28 matches, with four of those losses coming against Sinner.
He's been the better player on this surface, owning a 15-4 record on indoor hard courts this season compared to Shelton's 4-4 record.
Auger-Aliassime won the only match between these two, beating Shelton in straight sets at the 2024 French Open (6-4, 6-2, 6-1).
That match was contested on clay, but the success should translate to indoor hard courts, where the Canadian has his best career winning percentage (69.7%).
ATP Finals tennis predictions made at 3:44 p.m. on 11/11/2025.
