Inter Milan and Juventus meet for a heavyweight Serie A clash at San Siro Stadium on Saturday.
The pregame narrative: This San Siro held the 2026 Winter Olympic opening ceremony last week, and now it's the amphitheatre for the Derby d'Italia. Inter Milan tops the Serie A table with just one loss on the season, and is even money to pick up three points this weekend.
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Check out my Inter Milan vs. Juventus picks for the match on Feb. 14, featuring Lautaro Martinez and Jonathan David.
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Inter Milan vs. Juventus picks
SGP: Inter Milan to win | Martinez to score or assist | David over 1.5 shots (+380)
Inter Milan to win (+100): Inter Milan has been nearly infallible at home this season, and enters this matchup in top form.
- The Nerazzurri are 9-1-2 at home in Serie A fixtures, with the only loss coming in a derby game to AC Milan.
- They have won five straight across all competitions heading into Saturday's match with Juventus.
- In those games, Inter sports a +14 goal differential.
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Luciano Spalletti will want to exact some revenge against his former squad, but Juventus's manager will be missing some key attacking players.
Star striker Dusan Vlahovic remains sidelined alongside backup Arkadiusz Milik.
Inter is 2-1-0 in its last three meetings against Juventus at the San Siro, with a 4-4 draw at the beginning of last season as the outlier.
But the Nerazzurri have allowed the fewest xG in Serie A (18.8) and have the highest xG differential (29.3) as a result, per FotMob. So don't expect Inter to be pulling the ball out of its net often.
Serie A SGP predictions
Martinez to score or assist (+120): If Inter Milan is going to win, expect production out of Inter's captain.
Martinez currently leads Serie A with 14 goals, eight clear of the next closest players. He also sits near the top, or at the top, for these statistical categories:
- 1st in Goals + assists (18)
- 1st in xG on target (11.0)
- 2nd in xG (11.3)
- 2nd in big chances missed (15)
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The Argentine has cashed this wager in four of his last five starts and seven of his last 10.
Jonathan David prop bet
David over 1.5 shots (-250): This is a solid way to gain exposure on Juventus without backing any player to directly produce.
David is heating up after a very slow start to the season for Juventus. The Canadian has four goals and three assists in his last eight starts, and is firmly entrenched in Spalletti's starting XI.
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All I'm asking out of David is two shot attempts. He has delievered on that front in six of his last eight starts, with two plus shots on target in five of those games.
Inter Milan vs. Juventus picks made at 12:30 p.m. on Feb. 13, 2026.
