Canada vs. Ecuador men's soccer prediction and odds: Expect low-scoring match at BMO Field

Best bet for Canada vs. Ecuador. Photo by Ashley Landis/AP.
Best bet for Canada vs. Ecuador. Photo by Ashley Landis/AP.

The Canadian men's soccer team hosts Ecuador for an international friendly on Thursday.

The pregame narrative: It will be a cold night at BMO Field with both sides preparing for the World Cup coming to North America this summer. With the temperature expected to be close to zero degrees at game time, I expect a slow match between two tough defensive teams.

Check out our Canada vs. Ecuador odds and my prediction for the men's soccer match on Nov. 13.

northstar bullet point BET FINDER: Search & Bet!

-> Join NorthStar Bets & start betting on soccer

Canada vs. Ecuador odds

Canada vs. Ecuador marketsBetting odds
Canada to win+175
Draw+240
Ecuador to win+165
Canada draw no bet-115
Ecuador draw no bet-125
Over 2.5 goals-105
Under 2.5 goals-118

Full Canada vs. Ecuador betting markets

Canada vs. Ecuador odds as of 12:55 p.m. ET on 11/10/2025.

Canadian men's soccer prediction

Under 2.5 goals (-118): Both sides should be slow to start in the brisk November air in Toronto.

Even the Canadian players aren't used to playing in weather like this.

On top of that, this is a good pick based on past results.

  • Ecuador has gone under this total in seven straight matches.
  • Canada has finished under this total in three straight friendlies, scoring just one goal across those matches.

-> Wager on this soccer match today!

Les Rouges' offence still struggles to score against top competition, and Ecuador fits the bill.

The nation sits 23rd in the FIFA World Rankings, and is currently in second place in South American qualifiers behind only Argentina.

Ecuador has been the best defensive team in the qualifiers, allowing just five goals in 18 matches. For context, Argentina ranks second with 10 goals conceded.

Canada recently drew 0-0 with Colombia in a friendly, a side that has allowed 18 goals in WCQ.

The Canadian defence has also been a strong point. They have held clean sheets in three of four international friendlies during this stint. Les Rouges lost 1-0 to Australia in the outlier.

Key stat: Canada has played five top 35-ranked nations in 2025. This under is 4-1 in those fixtures.

Canada vs. Ecuador prediction made at 1:12 p.m. on 11/10/2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets now!

NorthStar Bets Responsible Gaming Policy: Click Here
NorthStar Bets Editorial Standards and Principals: Click Here