The Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots play for the Lombardi Trophy this Sunday in Super Bowl 60.
Super Bowl 60 narrative: Good teams win, and great teams cover. So it's no surprise that the teams playing in this year's Super Bowl have been elite against the spread. Seattle is a league-best 14-5-0 with New England right behind at 13-6-1. The Seahawks are laying 4.5 points as of Thursday afternoon.
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Check out our staff's Super Bowl ATS predictions for the game on Feb. 8, 2026.
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Super Bowl ATS predictions
NorthStar Bets' Avery Perri, Jordan Horrobin and Chris Toman offer up their Super Bowl ATS predictions for Sunday's game.
NFL odds as of 3:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, Feb. 5, 2026.
Seahawks vs. Patriots against the spread prediction
Seahawks vs. Patriots (Sunday, Feb. 8: 6:30 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Seattle -4.5
Perri says: Seattle is a cut above New England, in my opinion.
The Seahawks played in the league's hardest division and led the NFL in point differential (+191). They also went 12-4-0 ATS as a favourite this year, winning those games by an average of 13.9 points.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Kenneth Walker III are better than any skill player on New England's roster, and that duo helped Seattle put up 72 points in two playoff games.
The great equalizer is always the quarterback, and Drake Maye undoubtedly had a better regular season than Sam Darnold. But it's been a different story in the playoffs.
- Maye: 55.8% comp. rate, 5 total TDs, 5 TOs, 5.0 sacks/game, 84.0 quarterback rating
- Darnold: 69.8% comp. rate, 4 total TDs, 0 TOs, 2.5 sacks/game, 122.4 quarterback rating
Simply put, the MVP finalist hasn't been any good.
Seattle's defence ranked No. 1 in RBSDM.com's EPA per play this year. I expect Mike Macdonald to dial it up and rattle Maye from the get-go.
Super Bowl LX ATS pick
Horrobin says: I want to parrot a lot of what Avery said, but I'll try to do some of my own homework here instead of copying his.
It's easy to build a case for either team, given that they're both conference winners. But I'm less confident in New England's case holding up.
The Patriots had the easiest schedule in the NFL, at least according to three very reputable resources (Pro Football Reference, ESPN's Football Power Index and Warren Sharp).
New England hasn't been tested much. Playing Jarrett Stidham in the AFC championship game helps, but it's more than that. The Pats haven't even trailed at halftime since Week 3.
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Look, the Patriots can only play who's in front of them. And they largely dominated. But the Seahawks were more dominant while playing in a tougher division. And Seattle enters on a nine-game win streak (four-game ATS win streak).
Seattle's league-best +191 point differential, as mentioned by Avery, was three touchdowns better than New England's AFC-best mark.
Sam Darnold is 11-5 ATS in his career when favoured by 4+ points, according to Action Network, and he has the NFL's No. 1 scoring defence backing him up.
This will be a test unlike any the Patriots have seen, and I think the Seahawks are built to win this by a touchdown or more.
Super Bowl against the spread pick
Toman says: Seattle is a different beast and has earned the right to be viewed as the best team in the NFL. But here's why I like the Patriots at this number:
- The Pats have allowed 10 points or fewer in four of their past five games. While they haven't played the most daunting offences over that stretch, that does include three playoff games.
- Over those three playoff matches, they've allowed 26 points.
- They've covered this number in all but two games this season.
Favourable conditions assisted the defence in their last two victories. Poor weather and the absence of key players (Bo Nix, Nico Collins) limited the offensive upside of both the Broncos and Texans.
But the Pats managed to do enough against great defences to come away victorious. They'll have to do it again against another top-tier unit, but New England has demonstrated it can clamp down, too.
I'm also not discounting how the weather affected Drake Maye. The MVP contender will have the opportunity to run the offence in much better conditions after some subpar playoff performances.
Maye has remained mobile for the most part and will be able to incorporate the pass more this Sunday. He only had 21 attempts in New England's snowy conference championship win over Denver, while also rushing 10 times for 65 yards.
While maybe not at the same level as the Rams and Matthew Stafford (374 yards, three TDs), Maye should be able to hurt the Seahawks through the air. Pair that with a strong defence, and I believe the Pats keep this close.
Staff picks: Perri (SEA) | Horrobin (SEA) | Toman (NE)
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