The Pittsburgh Steelers and Los Angeles Chargers meet in an important AFC showdown on Sunday Night Football.
The pregame narrative: This game has significant playoff implications, especially concerning tiebreakers. Both teams are firmly in the AFC playoff picture, which means this game could be an impactful one when the regular season gives way to the postseason.
Check out my +380 same-game parlay Steelers vs. Chargers predictions for Nov. 9, featuring Jaylen Warren.
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Steelers vs. Chargers predictions
SGP: Steelers ML | Warren over 58.5 rushing yards | Under 45.5 points (+380)
Steelers ML (+130): Pittsburgh has a clear path to keeping this game competitive — and pulling off the upset.
The Steelers seem to have refound their pass rush. The team totalled five sacks against Daniel Jones and the Indianapolis Colts after notching just two in the previous two games.
Pittsburgh's strong performance ties it for third in sacks this year (27).
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All of this is very bad news for Los Angeles' injured offensive line.
The Chargers are missing Rashawn Slater, Joe Alt and Bobby Hart, leaving them extremely thin at tackle specifically.
Unsurprisingly, L.A. is tied for ceding the fifth-most sacks in the NFL this season (29).
I expect this to be an ugly game with Justin Herbert under constant pressure.
Sunday Night Football SGP picks
Warren over 58.5 rushing yards (-117): Heavy involvement from Warren is a constant in Pittsburgh's offence.
The running back has 45 carries in his last three games, turning those into a respectable 220 rushing yards.
He has topped this total in two of those contests, and I'm betting on that continuing against the Chargers.
Los Angeles has struggled to limit opposing rushers. It's allowing the sixth-most yards per carry in the NFL this season (4.9).
Warren is a great candidate to usurp this mark as long as the usage remains consistent.
Under 45.5 points (-115): A Pittsburgh win likely means an ugly football game.
The Steelers want to drag teams into the mud, and they do so more often than not. The under on this total has hit in three of their last four wins.
Los Angeles will likely struggle to generate a whole lot on offence. In addition to a litany of offensive line injuries, the team is also down to its third running back.
It's hard to run an effective offence with cluster injuries at multiple positions.
Expect this game to be a slog, and look for the under to come through.
Steelers vs. Chargers predictions made at 1:59 p.m. ET 11/8/2025.
