NFL Week 9 wraps up at Jerry World when the Dallas Cowboys host the Arizona Cardinals.
The pregame narrative: Both teams enter this contest with losing records, but Dallas can draw back to .500 with a win. The Cowboys are favoured by a field goal at home behind an elite offence averaging the second-most points per game.
Check out my Cardinals vs. Cowboys picks for Nov. 2, featuring a prop bet on George Pickens.
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Cardinals vs. Cowboys picks
Best Bet: Cowboys -3 (-113)
Dallas' offence is an electric factory so far, and I want in.
- 2nd in scoring (30.8)
- 2nd in yards per game (384.1)
- 5th in EPA per play
Dak Prescott is playing MVP-calibre football, ranking third in passing yards (2,069) and first in QBR (79.5). CeeDee Lamb and Pickens have proven to be an unguardable 1-2 punch, and I can't imagine the Cardinals' defence will buck that trend.
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Arizona is on a five-game losing streak and has given up 27 and 31 points in its last two games against comparable offences (Colts, Packers).
The elephant in the room here is Dallas' defence, which has allowed the second-most points (31.3) and yards (404.6) per game.
But Arizona will be without Kyler Murray, again, meaning Jacoby Brissett will get the ball.
As far as backups go, Brissett is elite. But I can't foresee him outperforming Prescott and Co. on the road in what should be a shootout.
Key stat: Dallas is 2-0 at home when Lamb has played this year, averaging 42 PPG.
Monday Night Football prop pick
Pickens over 63.5 receiving yards (-113): Pickens has been an absolute dog this season, ranking third in receiving yards (685) with six touchdowns.
The first-year Cowboy did his best work with Lamb sidelined, but Pickens is still 3-1 against this number in games where his partner has played start to finish.
That includes the last two weeks, where Pickens had 78 yards and 82 yards.
-> Bet on Pickens against the Cardinals
Arizona's defence ranks 21st in EPA per dropback. Pickens has had a 40-yard catch in three of his last four games. I expect him to make some big plays in prime time.
Cardinals vs. Cowboys picks made at 2:15 p.m. ET 11/01/2025.
