In a marquee late-night NBA showdown, the Los Angeles Clippers host the Golden State Warriors.
The pregame narrative: The Clippers are still well outside the playoff picture, but they're 6-1 in their past seven games. Golden State is a 3-point road favourite despite a subpar 8-12 road record.
Check out my Warriors vs. Clippers SGP predictions for Jan. 5, featuring prop bets on Steph Curry, James Harden and Brandin Podziemski.
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Warriors vs. Clippers SGP
Parlay: Harden under 7.5 assists | Curry 25+ points | Podziemski over 1.5 threes (+510)
Harden under 7.5 assists (+108): Harden knows how to dish the rock, and he's the primary facilitator for the Clippers, but this seems like good value on a fade.
The Beard is averaging 8.0 assists this season, which is his lowest mark in the past six years. And his passing production has been on the decline lately.
- Since Dec. 1, Harden has averaged 7.0 APG, going under 7.5 assists in 10 of 13 games.
- In that 13-game span, he has logged an average of 11.8 potential assists (i.e., passes that lead directly to a shot). At that volume, his teammates would have to be ultra-efficient for him to accrue at least eight assists.
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The Warriors' defence is among the best, ranking seventh in points allowed and fifth in defensive rating. They likely won't make things easy on Harden and the Clippers' offence.
In his lone matchup vs. Golden State earlier this season, Harden tallied just one assist in 32 minutes.
NBA SGP legs
Curry 25+ threes (-215): A little over a month ago, Curry missed a handful of games with a quad injury. But he's been making up for lost time since his return.
- In 10 games since re-entering the Warriors' lineup, Curry is averaging 30.2 points on 46.1/41.0/93.9 shooting splits.
- As usual, Curry's 3-point shooting volume is a key driver of his offensive success. For the fifth time in six seasons, he's averaging NBA-highs in 3-point makes (4.8/game) and attempts (12.1/game).
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Curry is 8-2 vs. this prop following his injury. On the season, he's 17-9 vs. this scoring milestone.
Last season, in his lone matchup at Intuit Dome, Curry shot 6-of-15 from deep as part of a 26-point performance.
Podziemski over 1.5 threes (-114): Curry's 3-point shooting doesn't leave many opportunities for his teammates, but Podziemski is pretty reliable against this line.
The 2023 first-rounder has cashed this bet in 21 of 36 games (58.3%) this season, which comfortably exceeds the implied probability of this market price (53.3%).
Podziemski is averaging 1.9 made 3s on 4.8 attempts. He went 2-for-6 from deep against the Clippers in a matchup back in October.
L.A. profiles as a promising matchup for Podziemski and any other 3-point shooter. The team allows the fourth-highest 3PT% in the league (37.6).
Warriors vs. Clippers predictions made at 3:45 p.m. on Jan. 5, 2026.
