I'm backing some big-name guards on Friday night in a loaded, nine-game NBA slate.
Today's NBA props narrative: De'Aaron Fox will see the Golden State Warriors for the second consecutive game, and I'm confident he'll be more involved this time around. I like him to pile up points and expect the same from Los Angeles Lakers superstar Luka Doncic.
Check out my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 14, featuring a prediction on Karl-Anthony Towns.
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NBA prop picks Nov. 14
Best bet: Fox to score 20+ points (-130)
These teams played on Wednesday and Fox fell well below this line for the first time this season.
The point guard has been limited to three games, but he kicked off his return from a hamstring injury with back-to-back 20-plus-point contests.
Golden State held Fox to 13 points in a high-scoring game that saw Victor Wembanyama (31 points) and Steph Curry (46) steal the show.
Even if those stars deliver an encore performance, Fox looks like a good bounce-back candidate to me. Here’s why:
- Volume hasn’t been a concern. In the loss to Golden State, Fox put up 14 shots for the third straight game.
- He played 36 minutes after logging 37 in his previous game, so he’s not dealing with a minutes restriction.
- Fox has big scoring upside, averaging more than 20.0 PPG in six straight seasons and topping the 25-point mark three times.
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Key stat: Golden State allows the fourth-most points to point guards, per Betting Pros, and has surrendered 120-plus points in four of its last five games.
Best NBA picks
Doncic over 31.5 points (-110): This is a huge number, but it's going to be the norm as long as LeBron James is out and Doncic keeps chucking up an enormous volume of shots.
Tyrese Maxey leads all qualified players with an average of 22.6 shot attempts per game. Doncic is averaging 23.9.
The only other time he’s been above 22.0 was the 2023-24 season, when he averaged a career-high 33.9 PPG. Through eight games, Doncic is at 34.9.
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- Doncic has scored 35-plus points five times.
- He’s taken 10-plus shots from deep in all but one game, averaging a career-high 11.4 attempts.
- The Lakers face the New Orleans Pelicans, who are 25th in the NBA in points allowed per game (121.6).
Opposing teams have been letting it fly from beyond the arc vs. New Orleans. Expect Doncic to keep firing triples, helping lead to another huge scoring night against the Western Conference-worst Pelicans.
NBA player prop predictions
Towns over 38.5 points/rebounds (-117): The Miami Heat are without rim protector Bam Adebayo and are a bottom-10 team in the NBA in points allowed in the paint.
Adebayo got hurt on Nov. 5 vs. the Denver Nuggets. Miami allowed 122 points that game and has surrendered at least 130 in three of four since.
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Towns should feast as the primary option for the New York Knicks tonight.
While his scoring is down (20.2 PPG), expect him to get well past that number with team-leading scorer Jalen Brunson on the sidelines.
- Towns averaged 25.3 PPG in 15 games without Brunson last season, per StatMuse.
- In addition to the scoring upside, Towns is a beast on the glass. He's averaging 12.6 rebounds per game (third in the NBA).
NBA prop picks made at 12:10 p.m. ET on Nov. 14, 2025.
