It's a busy Wednesday night in the NBA, featuring 12 games and loads of player prop options.
Today's NBA props narrative: I'm dialling up three recommendations, including a best bet on De'Aaron Fox. The San Antonio Spurs point guard has been strong since returning from injury and should keep up his production in a favourable matchup.
Check out my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 12, featuring predictions on Paolo Banchero and Trey Murphy.
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NBA prop picks Nov. 12
Best bet: Fox over 20.5 points (-112)
The Spurs have wasted no time unleashing Fox, which has paid immediate dividends.
Fox, who missed the first few weeks of the season recovering from a hamstring strain, has been sharp in two performances to kick off his 2025-26 campaign.
- Oct. 11 @ CHI: 37 mins, 8-of-14 shooting, 21 points.
- Oct. 8 vs. NO: 31 mins, 9-of-14 shooting, 24 points.
Both games resulted in wins for the Spurs.
Fox has big scoring upside, averaging 25-plus points three times in his career as the No. 1 option with the Sacramento Kings.
-> Check out full prop markets on Fox, Wembanyama & more!
His circumstances are different now, playing alongside Victor Wembanyama in San Antonio, but the high-usage guard will have every opportunity to form a potent 1-2 scoring punch with the French phenom.
Fox has an excellent matchup against the Golden State Warriors, who are on a back-to-back and got torched last night.
Beyond the fatigue factor, the Warriors have been horrific at defending point guards, allowing the third-most points to the position (per Betting Pros).
Key stat: Golden State has given up 120-plus points in three of its last four games.
Best NBA picks
Banchero over 7.5 rebounds (-127): The New York Knicks are an excellent rebounding team, fuelled by starting centre Karl-Anthony Towns’ 12.7 per game (fourth in the NBA).
But New York is on a back-to-back, which means we might not see the best version of this team tonight.
And Banchero has been putting in work on the glass.
-> Bet on tonight's Magic vs. Knicks Eastern Conference clash
The young Orlando Magic star is averaging a career-best 9.1 rebounds per game, a significant jump from the 7.5 he averaged in an injury-shortened campaign last season.
- Banchero has five double-digit rebounding games and is 8-3 vs. this line on the season.
- The 23-year-old has gobbled up nine-plus boards in six of his last seven contests.
NBA player prop predictions
Murphy over 27.5 points/rebounds (-115): The fifth-year forward has turned in some big duds early on but he's also blown past this line multiple times, including each of his last two games.
- Murphy dropped 21 points and grabbed 10 rebounds in Monday's loss to the Phoenix Suns.
- The game before that, he scored a career-high 41 points and added nine rebounds.
With Zion Williamson and Jordan Poole out, Murphy is competing with no one on this New Orleans Pelicans team for shots.
-> Bet on tonight's 12-game NBA slate at NorthStar Bets!
And plenty of the volume we see from him tonight should come from long range, allowing Murphy to pile up points if he can get into a rhythm.
Murphy has attempted 10-plus shots from distance in four of his last six games. He's buried five-plus triples in each of those contests.
Averaging a career-high 7.0 rebounds, Murphy faces a Portland Trail Blazers team that's surrendering just shy of 120 points a night.
NBA prop picks made at 12:10 p.m. ET on Nov. 12, 2025.
