Jamal Murray and the shorthanded Denver Nuggets host the Brooklyn Nets on Thursday night, and I've got a pair of player props worth targeting.
Tonight's NBA props narrative: Murray torched the Nets back on Jan. 4, and he should be counted on to put up some big-time numbers again. On the other side, ex-Nugget Michael Porter Jr. is thriving as the primary scorer on a bad team.
Check out these NBA prop picks for Jan. 29, featuring a pick on Chicago Bulls point guard Coby White.
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NBA prop picks Jan. 29
Best bet: Murray over 33.5 points/assists (-118)
On any given night, Murray can go off as a scorer or a passer. He has 13 games this season with 30+ points, along with 11 games of 10+ assists.
When he faced the Nets earlier this month, the Kitchener, Ontario native had everything working. Despite taking a 12-point loss, Murray finished with game-high totals in points (27) and assists (16).
Murray has been a key cog in Denver's machine for a long time, but he's particularly crucial right now. Nikola Jokic, the three-time MVP who leads the team in points, rebounds and assists, has been out all month with a knee injury.
And Aaron Gordon, who's third on the Nuggets in points and fourth in assists, is slated to miss tonight's game as well.
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The Nets rank 26th in defensive rating, and they're allowing the sixth-most assists per game. Murray is accustomed to a minutes workload in the mid-30s, which comes with ample stat-stuffing opportunities.
Going all the way back to Dec. 3, Murray is 14-9 vs. this prop (60.9%) while averaging 36.0 PA. And his numbers stand out even more than that.
Key stat: In 11 games without Jokic this season, Murray has averaged 36.3 PA and is 7-4 vs. this line (63.6%).
Best NBA picks
Porter over 25.5 points (-130): Revenge game narratives can often get stretched too thin, but I wouldn't be surprised if Porter was feeling some ill will toward his ex-employer.
After all, the Nuggets shipped him off to the lowly Nets this offseason, immediately extinguishing his chances of competing for a title.
But the move also freed up MPJ to take a boatload of shots, and he has happily obliged.
The former lottery pick, now in his seventh season, has taken more shots (18.6/game) and more 3s (9.4/game) than ever before. Naturally, that has led to a career-high scoring average (25.2 PPG).
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He really turned up the heat in December and has been particularly effective since then:
- 21 games
- 26.0 PPG
- 41.7 3PT%
- 14-7 vs. this prop
Porter dropped 27 points on Denver a few weeks ago, and I love his chances at a similar result tonight.
NBA player prop predictions
White over 5.5 assists (-118): This prop is asking for a bit more than what White typically produces as a passer, but he's more than capable of cashing the over.
- For the third straight season, White is averaging at least 4.5 assists. He's currently at 4.7 APG in 26 games.
- White has 6+ assists in three of his past five games.
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Based on his season-long stats, this prop is in coin-flip territory at best. What puts it over the edge, for me, is the matchup.
White will face the Miami Heat, who play at the fastest pace in the league. They allow the fifth-most assists per game, according to Fantasy Pros.
NBA prop picks made at 4 p.m. ET on Jan. 29, 2026.
