The last two No. 1 overall picks, Cooper Flagg and Victor Wembanyama, headline Saturday's NBA prop bets.
Tonight's NBA props narrative: Flagg has done it all for the Dallas Mavericks lately and has an outsized opportunity with Anthony Davis sidelined. Wembanyama is still on a minutes restriction, but is catching the Boston Celtics on a back-to-back.
Check out my top NBA prop picks for Jan. 10, featuring a prediction on Jaime Jaquez Jr.
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NBA prop picks Jan. 10
Best bet: Flagg over 36.5 PRA (-109)
Flagg is playing point guard for the Dallas Mavericks with Kyrie Irving on the mend, and that's put him in a great position to stuff the stat sheet.
Look at what the 6-foot-9 unicorn has done in his last 12 games (35.9 PRA):
- 22.6 points/game
- 7.2 rebounds/game
- 6.1 assists/game
In that span, he's gone 6-6 against this line, logging 30+ PRA eight times.
Flagg is coming off a huge game against the Utah Jazz: 26 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists. I'm bullish he can back that up tonight.
-> Bet on Flagg in tonight's Mavericks vs. Bulls matchup!
With Davis sidelined, Flagg's shot volume and rebounding opportunities should increase.
The rookie has been particularly consistent on the glass, logging six-plus boards in nine straight and at least seven in every game since the calendar turned.
Also, Chicago plays at the third-fastest pace in the NBA (102.88 possessions per 48 minutes) and is 25th in defensive rating, per NBA.com.
More possessions mean more opportunities to log counting stats.
Key stat: Flagg is averaging 25.4 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 4.8 assists in five games without Davis (37.0 PRA).
Best NBA picks
Wembanyam over 8.5 rebounds (-150): Do I like playing props with -150 juice? No. But I think it's worth it tonight.
Wembanyama hasn't played 30-plus minutes since Nov. 14, and it hasn't stopped him from being a menace on the glass.
Case in point, he just logged 14 rebounds in 26 minutes against the Los Angeles Lakers.
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At 7-foot-4, he is literally a cut above everyone else on the court as a rebounder.
Wembanyama is 6-3 against this line in his last nine games, recording double-digit boards in each instance it cashed.
Boston is playing its third game in four nights, and that should give a slight edge to the French phenom.
NBA player prop predictions
Jaquez over 11.5 points (-124): Jaquez is officially listed as questionable, but I love his chances of clearing this total should he play tonight.
The third-year forward was on a tear over his last 13 games before exiting after 10 minutes against the Minnesota Timberwolves with an ankle injury on Nov. 3:
- 17.9 PPG
- 55.6 FG%
- 10+ points in every game
In that span, he went 10-3 against this line.
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It's worth noting that Tyler Herro was out for most of those contests and is now back in the Miami Heat's lineup.
But Jaquez came off the bench in all but one of his last 13 games, and has a great matchup tonight.
The Indian Pacers have the third-worst mid-range defence in the NBA (48.8%), per Cleaning the Glass.
Jaquez takes 45% of his shots from that area of hte court, which ranks in the 92nd percentile among all forwards.
NBA prop picks made at 10 a.m. ET on Jan. 10, 2026.
