Newfound opportunities are calling for Jarace Walker and Ron Holland, which is why both lesser-known players have worked their way into Friday's NBA prop picks.
Tonight's NBA props narrative: Walker and Holland have predictably modest points props tonight in their respective matchups and look like solid picks to cash. Elsewhere, Trey Murphy is worth fading despite putting on a sharpshooting masterclass last time out.
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Check out these NBA prop picks for Feb. 6.
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NBA prop picks Feb. 6
Best bet: Murphy under 3.5 threes (-124)
It would've come with a hefty price tag, but some thought Murphy would be on the move ahead of Thursday's 3 p.m. trade deadline.
Murphy flashed his peak value on Wednesday, dropping a season-high 44 points while burying 12-of-19 attempts from 3-point range.
Clearly, his ceiling is high, but I still think tonight's 3s line is a bit high based on a few factors.
- He doesn't typically go over 3.5 threes. In 49 games this season, Murphy has cashed this under 31 times (63.3%).
- Minnesota is tough on opposing 3-point shooters. The Timberwolves excel at limiting chances from beyond the arc, holding opponents to the seventh-fewest makes and the fourth-fewest attempts.
- Murphy is less efficient as a visitor. The small forward, who will play in Minnesota tonight, has a lower 3-point percentage on the road (36.2%) than he does at home (38.4%).
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It's easy to see Murphy's 19 attempted 3s last time out and want nothing to do with this under. But that volume was an anomaly.
In his past eight games before Wednesday's explosion, Murphy shot 23.6% from deep. And this under went 8-0 in those games.
Key stat: In his lone matchup vs. Minnesota this season, Murphy went 0-for-5 from deep.
Best NBA picks
Holland over 8.5 points (+102): This seems like great value for Holland, a bench player who could see a short-term promotion for the Detroit Pistons.
Last night, Jalen Duren suffered a knee injury that forced him out — and Holland started in his place in the second half. Holland finished with 11 points on 4-of-9 shooting in 25 minutes.
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The second-year lottery pick is averaging 8.2 PPG this season on roughly 20 minutes per night. And he's 25-23 (52.1%) vs. this prop.
Assuming Duren sits tonight, which seems more than fair on a back-to-back, look for Holland to find a bit more work on offence.
NBA player prop predictions
Walker over 11.5 points (-107): Ivica Zubac will be wearing an Indiana Pacers jersey as soon as Sunday, which means tonight could be Walker's last chance in the starting lineup for the foreseeable future.
I'm betting on him to make the most of it.
In his past seven games (five starts), Walker is averaging 17.1 PPG on 51.8/41.2/76.9 shooting splits. He is 6-1 vs. this line and scored 11 points in the outlier.
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Walker started against the Milwaukee Bucks back in November and excelled, scoring 18 points in 38 minutes (7-of-15 shooting). And that was with Giannis Antetokounmpo protecting the rim.
Giannis will be in street clothes tonight, which should make things even easier on the 22-year-old power forward out of Houston.
NBA prop picks made at 10:20 a.m. ET on Feb. 6, 2026.
