I'm targeting a trio of centres in Wednesday's NBA prop picks.
Tonight's NBA props narrative: Victor Wembanyama's rebound total is enticing in a potential Western Conference Finals preview between the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder. Elsewhere, look for Nikola Jokic to connect from 3-point land in the Big Apple.
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Check out these NBA prop picks for Feb. 4, featuring a best bet on New Orleans Pelicans rookie Derik Queen.
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NBA prop picks Feb. 4
Best bet: Queen over 22.5 PRA (-120)
Queen is the youngest and by far the least proven of the three players I'm backing, but the No. 13 pick out of Maryland has a sky-high ceiling.
After all, you don't earn the nickname "Baby Jokic" on Basketball Reference for nothing.
The 6-foot-9 centre is averaging 24.0 PRA per game, and can put up big numbers in any of the three major counting stats on a nightly basis:
- 9 games with 20+ points
- 17 games with 9+ rebounds
- 10 games with 7+ assists
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There have been nine games where Queen has gone completely nuclear, totalling 35+ PRA.
The rookie also has quiet nights, but shouldn't face much adversity in Milwaukee.
Giannis Antetokounmpo is sitting out tonight and might be traded before tomorrow's deadline. Bobby Portis (hip) is also questionable after missing Tuesday's game.
The vibes will be low in Fiserv Forum, and I think the Pelicans should rout a defeated Bucks squad.
Key stat: Queen has cleared this line in 27 of 51 games.
Best NBA picks
Wembanyama over 10.5 rebounds (-127): San Antonio is a 2-point home underdog as these two heavyweights put a bow on their regular-season series, which the Spurs currently lead 3-1.
Oklahoma City is slightly shorthanded without Jalen Williams and Ajay Mitchell, but it does have Isaiah Hartenstein back at centre, giving the defending champs some rebounding pop.
Still, this looks like a smash play for Wembanyama.
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The sophomore is 1-3 against this line vs. OKC this year, but was on a minutes restriction in each of those games.
When Wemby has played 30-plus minutes, as he's done in four of his last six games, he is 10-5 against this line.
OKC is 25th in rebounding rate, and gives up the eighth-most rebounds per game to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.
NBA player prop predictions
Jokic over 1.5 threes (-118): This is Jokic's fourth game back following a month-long injury stint. The early 3-point shooting results have been encouraging:
- 6-for-10 (60.0% shooting)
- 2-1 vs. this line
On the season, Jokic is averaging career highs in makes (2.1) and attempts (4.7). That 44.5 three-point rate ranks 10th in the NBA.
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The New York Knicks have struggled to defend the perimeter, and are allowing the seventh-most 3s per game (14.0) at the 12th-highest clip (36.3%).
NBA prop picks made at 10:10 a.m. ET on Feb. 4, 2026.
