Wednesday night's NBA slate is loaded, featuring 14 games and all but two teams in action.
Tonight's NBA props narrative: Several good matchups are scheduled, including a big Eastern Conference tilt between the Detroit Pistons and Toronto Raptors. A pair of key Detroit absences should help Toronto at home, and I'm looking for Brandon Ingram to take advantage.
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Check out my top NBA prop picks for Feb. 11, featuring predictions on Trey Murphy and Jarrett Allen.
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NBA prop picks Feb. 11
Best bet: Ingram over 29.5 points/rebounds/assists (-125)
Fresh off his second career all-star selection, Ingram and the Raptors will see a shorthanded Pistons team.
Detroit will be without suspended big men Jalen Duren and Isaiah Stewart as a result of their roles in a brawl with the Charlotte Hornets earlier this week.
Duren is one of the best rebounders in the NBA and Stewart is strong on the glass, too. They're also good defenders for a team that ranks second in the NBA in defensive rating.
Ingram is a solid rebounding wing with nightly 20-plus-point upside. The absence of the two Pistons centres could help out the 28-year-old in the two areas that we need.
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Ingram is averaging 31.5 PRA and is the No. 1 scoring option for the Raptors, who sit 10 games above .500.
Even without Duren and Stewart, Detroit is a 1-point road favourite as the Raps take on Cade Cunningham and the No. 1 team in the East.
Key stat: Ingram has recorded 30+ PRA in eight of his last 11 games.
Best NBA picks
Allen to double-double (-141): Allen has put up some monster games with Cleveland Cavaliers teammate Evan Mobley sidelined this month.
- 4 straight double-doubles.
- 20+ points in 3 of his last 4.
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Allen’s production is vastly improved without his fellow big man (18.6 points vs. 12.8; 9.3 rebounds vs. 7.8, per StatMuse), and the addition of James Harden hasn’t cut into the centre’s production.
In two games since Harden joined Cleveland, Allen has recorded consecutive 20-and-10 games, logged more than 30 minutes and taken double-digit shot attempts.
Tonight, he’ll get a Washington Wizards team that allows the most rebounds to the centre position and the second-most points, per Betting Pros.
As a 17-point favourite, there’s concern of reduced minutes in a blowout. But this looks like another game where Allen will feast, as he did vs. Washington in November (16 points, 14 rebounds).
NBA player prop predictions
Murphy over 22.5 points (-124): The Miami Heat's injury report is long, which should hopefully lead to a competitive game against the lowly New Orleans Pelicans.
And as long as it is and Murphy's minutes aren't impacted, I expect his excellent February production to continue.
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- 29.5 PPG
- 53.8 FG%
- 54.2 3P%
Murphy is averaging 6.5 threes per game this month on monster volume. He's taken double-digit 3-point attempts in six of his last eight and hasn't taken fewer than seven attempts since late December.
That volume on good efficiency is a great way to pile up points, and Murphy has done just that, averaging a career-high 22.2 per game (25.2 since Jan. 1).
Murphy already torched Miami once this season, going for 27 points and seven triples in January.
NBA prop picks made at 12:05 p.m. ET on Feb. 11, 2026.
