I'm looking to the 8 p.m. window on Saturday for my NBA prop bets, including two predictions from the Sacramento Kings vs. Miami Heat matchup.
Today's NBA props narrative: With Sacramento's best player on the sidelines, I expect Bam Adebayo to put in work for the Heat. And for the Kings, Russell Westbrook is a strong pick to can multiple 3s.
Check out my plays in the best NBA prop picks for Dec. 6, featuring a prediction on Anthony Edwards.
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NBA prop picks Dec. 6
Best bet: Adebayo to record a double-double (-137)
Adebayo is on a roll right now, and his Heat will face a Kings squad that's missing its centrepiece, Domantas Sabonis.
What does Sabonis bring to the Kings when he's on the court? Well, he's the three-time reigning NBA rebound leader, and he has averaged a 12-rebound double-double in every season since 2019-20.
Sabonis will miss his ninth consecutive game tonight. In the previous eight, starting centres went 5-3 vs. this prop while averaging 20.6 points and 12.0 rebounds, collectively.
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On the season, the Kings have allowed the second-most points and the most rebounds to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.
Enter Adebayo, who is averaging 19.9 points and 10.9 rebounds over his past seven games. He should be the next centre to really benefit from a Sabonis-less Sacramento.
Miami did play last night, but Adebayo has played a pair of back-to-backs already this season. So hopefully he isn't sidelined on Saturday.
As long as he's on the floor, the three-time all-star centre should thrive in this matchup.
Key stat: Adebayo has four double-doubles in his past five games vs. the Kings, averaging 19.6 PPG and 10.4 RPG in that span.
Best NBA picks
Westbrook over 1.5 threes (-139): There's a lot of extra juice on this prop, but I think it's warranted for Westbrook, and I still want to buy in.
- Now in his 18th year, Westbrook is nowhere near the peak of his powers. But he is shooting career-best 37.1% from 3-point land.
- Westbrook is attempting 5.3 threes per game, which is the third-highest average of his career.
Miami plays at the fastest pace in the NBA (105.63 possessions per 48 minutes), and Sacramento is fairly close behind in eighth. There should be ample opportunities for both sides to get a bunch of shots up.
The Heat also happen to allow the most 3-point attempts per game (42.1), so hopefully Westbrook is in the mood to fire away.
So far this season, Westbrook is 13-9 vs. this prop.
NBA player prop predictions
Edwards over 29.5 points (-121): Edwards got into some foul trouble last time out and finished with just 11 points on a wildly uncharacteristic six shot attempts. Don't expect that to become a trend.
Prior to his six-shot dud, Edwards had exceeded the 30-point threshold in six consecutive games.
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The shooting guard is averaging 28.8 PPG on the season and should be in for another scoring binge tonight.
His Minnesota Timberwolves have a rest advantage vs. the Los Angeles Clippers (the NBA's oldest team), who just played last night in Memphis.
L.A. is allowing the third-most PPG to opposing shooting guards this season. And Edwards dropped 37 on the Clips when he last faced them at home in January.
NBA prop picks made at 9:50 a.m. ET on Dec. 6, 2025.
