The New York Knicks battle the Golden State Warriors in Thursday's marquee matchup.
The pregame narrative: Golden State is laying 7.5 points as it catches a slumping New York on a back-to-back. The Knicks just lost outright as double-digit favourites to the Sacramento Kings with Jalen Brunson exiting early due to an ankle injury.
Check out my Knicks vs. Warriors SGP picks for Jan. 15, featuring Steph Curry and Karl-Anthony Towns.
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Knicks vs. Warriors SGP
Parlay: Warriors -3.5 | Curry 4+ threes | Towns 12+ rebounds (+275)
Warriors -3.5 (-186): I can't trust the Knicks right now after backing them to cover against the Kings yesterday. Especially without Brunson.
New York ended up losing by 11 points last night, a 21.5-point swing off the game spread. Take a look at the team's updated road stats:
- 8-11 SU record (1-4 in their last five games)
- 5-14 ATS record (last in NBA)
- 118.8 defensive rating (24th in NBA)
Sacramento is one of the league's bottom-feeders, so it seemed like a good spot for New York to buck that trend. But the Knicks couldn't, and I fully expect their road woes to continue in San Francisco.
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The Warriors have won three of their last four games and have a stellar 14-6 record at Chase Center.
NBA SGP legs
Curry 4+ threes (-335): I've run out of words to describe Curry. So just take a look at his 3-point numbers since returning from injury on Dec. 12:
- 4.5 threes/game
- 11.8 attempts/game
- 38.4 3PT%
The Hall-of-Fame-bound guard is 10-5 against this line in that span, and he has a Grade-A matchup tonight.
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New York has the sixth-worst 3-point defence in the NBA (37.1%). Curry has cleared this mark in nine straight games against the Knicks, averaging 5.3 threes on 38.7% shooting.
Towns 12+ rebounds (-141): All year long, I've been backing opposing big men against the Warriors. Why? They simply don't have the size to contend on the glass.
Quinten Post is the only player above 6-foot-8 logging meaningful minutes for Golden State, and the 7-footer averages more 3-point attempts (4.5) than rebounds (3.8).
Unsurprisingly, the Warriors give up the fifth-most rebounds per game to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.
Towns is a monster in the paint and is third in rebounding this season (11.2/game).
He's also performed well on back-to-backs this season, averaging 14.3 rebounds and going 3-0 against this line.
I expect KAT to eat tonight.
Knicks vs. Warriors SGP predictions made at 12:45 p.m. on Jan. 15, 2026.
