The Portland Trail Blazers are heavy home favourites over the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday night.
The pregame narrative: Memphis dominated trade deadline headlines, moving Jaren Jackson Jr. while keeping Ja Morant. The latter remains out tonight alongside Zach Edey and Santi Aldama, setting up a big-time skill mismatch in Portland.
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Check out my Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers predictions for Feb. 6, featuring picks on Donovan Clingan and Deni Avdija.
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Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers predictions
SGP: Trail Blazers -6.5 | Clingan double-double | Avdija 20+ points (+320)
Trail Blazers -6.5 (-148): Portland is hardly the '96 Chicago Bulls. In fact, the Blazers are riding a six-game losing streak and are five games under .500.
But this is a massive mismatch and a blowout waiting to happen.
The Blazers lost to five very good teams during their skid (Raptors, Celtics, Cavaliers, Knicks, Suns) and were on a four-game winning streak before that.
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Memphis, meanwhile, has been a mess all season and is missing its four leading scorers (Jackson, who was traded, alongside Morant, Aldama, and Edey).
The Grizzlies are 7-10 ATS as road underdogs, which is the fourth-worst mark in the NBA, per Team Rankings. Trimming a few points off a big spread and backing the favourites feels safe to me.
NBA SGP predictions
Avdija 20+ points (-189): Avdija was upgraded from doubtful to questionable ahead of tonight's matchup, which is a good sign the all-star will suit up.
And that's exactly the shot in the arm Portland needs.
- Avdija is having a monster year, averaging career highs in points (25.7) and field-goal attempts (16.7).
- He has reached this 20-point milestone in eight of his last 10 games and 35 of 44 on the season (79.5%).
Memphis just traded its best defensive player, the "Block Panther", and won't have Edey available to defend the paint, either. It should be smooth sailing for Avdija tonight.
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Donovan Clingan prop bet
Clingan double-double (-157): No Jackson and Edey also factor into this play.
Clingan is a rebounding machine, averaging the third-most boards per game (11.3). He has double-digit boards in eight of his last 10 and won't have any notable bigs to contest him on the glass.
It makes sense that his rebounding total is set at 12.5 tonight.
Reaching the 10-point milestone should be the challenge here, but he's averaging 11.2 PPG, and I like his chances against Memphis' frontcourt.
The Grizzlies won't have a single player above 6-foot-9 in their starting lineup.
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers predictions made at 3:40 p.m. on Feb. 6, 2026.
